Event

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barrios

4 signals across 1 market · $7,981 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026

This event tracks the Internazionali BNL d'Italia qualifying match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Tomas Barrios, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter has tracked $7,981 in smart-money activity across 4 signals, including profitable clusters and winning bettors backing both favorite and underdog positions.

Markets (1)

  1. Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barrios4 signals · $7,981 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable new funded cluster

    High-scoring tennis alert driven by a highly profitable repeat new wallet, shared-funder cluster activity, and a large pre-event volume spike despite the position moving against entry.

    $2,450Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 15.0
  2. 72% winner backs underdog

    A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% resolved win rate bought the underdog in a reasonably liquid tennis qualifier.

    $1,584Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 6.2
  3. 99% winner backing favorite

    Proven sports bettor with a 99% resolved record and $84.7k profit is buying Daniel Merida Aguilar despite a high 84¢ entry.

    $2,295Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0
  4. 72% winner buying tennis underdog

    Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% record and $6.9M profit is buying the underdog after a major price drop, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

    $1,652Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xfe787d0319$3,236 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 65% wins
  2. 0x2a673cd370$2,450 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  3. 0x469861d7a5$2,295 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Merida Aguilar vs Barrios prediction market odds?

The market prices the chance that Daniel Merida Aguilar or Tomas Barrios advances from this Italian Open qualifying match. Odds can move as bettors react to form, matchup news, and liquidity on Polymarket.

What is the smart money doing on this match?

PolySpotter has tracked $7,981 in smart-money activity across 4 signals. Recent alerts include a profitable newly funded cluster, a 99% winner backing the favorite, and 72% winner activity buying the underdog.

Is this a Polymarket market for the match winner?

Yes. This event resolves to the player who advances: Daniel Merida Aguilar if he advances, or Tomas Barrios if he advances.

When does the Merida Aguilar vs Barrios market resolve?

The match was originally scheduled for May 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve by May 12, 2026, subject to Polymarket’s rules for delays or cancellations.