Event

US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev

9 signals across 3 markets · $339,639 tracked · resolves Sep 9, 2026

Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the US Open ATP match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev. The event includes the match outcome and a Rublev -1.5 versus Aguilar +1.5 set-handicap market; a recent sharp-money signal backed Aguilar.

Markets (3)

  1. US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev7 signals · $331,676 tracked
  2. Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)1 signal · $5,963 tracked
  3. Aguilar vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.51 signal · $2,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp bettor leads Rublev cluster

    A four-wallet, $117,000 one-sided push toward Andrey Rublev includes a highly profitable bettor with an exceptional 84% win rate and a major volume spike.

    $117,023Score: 8.4
  2. Sharp wallets backing Daniel Merida Aguilar

    Four wallets committed $65,160 to Daniel Merida Aguilar, including two highly profitable bettors with 92% and 97% historical win rates, amid an extreme volume spike.

    $20,602Score: 8.1
  3. Three-wallet Rublev buying cluster

    A major pre-event volume spike and three-wallet coordinated buying support Rublev, though the trader already holds large positions on both sides.

    $5,846Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 7.6
  4. Three-wallet Rublev buying cluster

    A major pre-event volume spike and three-wallet coordinated buying support Rublev, though the trader already holds large positions on both sides.

    $104,000Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 7.6
  5. Four-wallet Rublev buying cluster

    A four-wallet, $300K one-sided Rublev flow and extreme pre-event volume spike are compelling, despite this wallet's poor record and existing two-sided exposure.

    $79,605Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 6.9
  6. 91-0 serial tennis bettor adds Over

    A proven 91-0 bettor is adding $2,000 to an Over position in an exceptionally thin tennis market.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 6.2
  7. 99% winner backs Rublev

    A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $3,216 bet on Andrey Rublev.

    $3,217Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.9
  8. Sharp bettor takes Aguilar

    A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge placed a nearly $6,000 position in an extremely thin tennis market.

    $5,963Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4
  9. 97% winner adds to underdog

    A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to Daniel Merida Aguilar amid an extreme volume spike.

    $1,385Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 3.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x2c33500563$109,846 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 57% wins
  2. 0x709e8d66f5$79,605 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
  3. 0x0353aac2ff$5,963 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
  4. 0xc3c3b3eec8$3,217 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  5. 0xb00cf0dfa2$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  6. 0x4a3f864333$1,385 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for Aguilar vs Rublev?

This event hub tracks the live market pricing for Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev, along with the Rublev -1.5 set-handicap outcome. Odds can change as traders update their positions.

What is smart money betting on in Aguilar vs Rublev?

PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal in this event. The recent alert headline reports that a sharp bettor took Aguilar.

What markets are available for this US Open ATP match?

The event includes a set-handicap market: Rublev -1.5 sets versus Aguilar +1.5 sets. The match is also covered by the event’s overall winner outcomes.

When does the Aguilar vs Rublev prediction market resolve?

The match is scheduled for September 2, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by September 9, 2026. If the match is not played or no winner is determined by the exchange’s deadline, its stated resolution rules apply.