Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov
8 signals across 2 markets · $42,929 tracked · resolves Oct 11, 2026
This Japan Open prediction market covers whether Carlos Alcaraz or Denis Shapovalov advances from their match. PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal, with a profitable serial trader backing Alcaraz; check the market for current odds on both outcomes.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner with serial cross-market record
A highly profitable bettor with 603 resolved positions and a 96% win rate bought Denis Shapovalov at 56¢, alongside a long-running cross-market track record.
$3,400Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - Serial trader adding to Alcaraz
A serial cross-market trader added $1,400 to an existing Alcaraz position as the market moved sharply upward, though their long-run record shows little profit relative to volume wagered.
$1,400Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 5.2 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate across 872 resolved bets bought Alcaraz at 69¢, alongside an 18-point price move and a serial cross-market signal.
$1,173Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.2 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, profitable bettor with an 85% win rate made a $5,000 Alcaraz bet amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.8 - Profitable serial trader adds to Alcaraz
A highly experienced, profitable bettor added $8,000 to Alcaraz as market volume spiked, though the current odds are below their entry price.
$8,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced, profitable bettor with an 85% win rate made a $5,000 Alcaraz bet amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.4 - Profitable serial trader backs Alcaraz
A highly profitable, heavily experienced trader placed a $5,482 bet on Alcaraz, nearly matching the market’s entire 24-hour volume.
$5,482Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.4 - Profitable serial trader backs Alcaraz
A highly profitable, heavily experienced trader placed a $5,482 bet on Alcaraz, nearly matching the market’s entire 24-hour volume.
$13,474Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$18,956 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$10,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x871886…5040$8,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$3,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x3957fb…35f0$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x722abb…d6ed$1,173 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Alcaraz vs Shapovalov?
The market lists odds for Alcaraz and Shapovalov to advance. Check the live market on this page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What is the Polymarket prediction market for this match?
It is a match-outcome market for the Japan Open, resolving to Alcaraz or Shapovalov based on which player advances, subject to the market’s resolution rules.
What is smart money betting on in Alcaraz vs Shapovalov?
PolySpotter has tracked one signal: a profitable serial trader backs Alcaraz. The event shows $5,482 in tracked smart money; this signal does not guarantee the outcome.
When does the Alcaraz vs Shapovalov market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on which player advances. If the match is canceled or no winner is determined, the exchange’s stated resolution rules apply.