Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech
8 signals across 1 market · $158,549 tracked · resolves Jul 29, 2026
Follow the Generali Open prediction market for Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech, with outcomes traded on which player advances. PolySpotter tracks $14,000 in smart money and highlights a buy signal from a serial trader with a 96% win rate backing Baez.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked-wallet cluster backs Baez
A large coordinated Baez position, including linked wallets and several profitable bettors, drove a 26-point price increase despite some opposing Arthur flow.
$61,396Score: 10.2 - Sharp bettor scaling into Baez
A proven 76% bettor with a meaningful edge is adding to a Baez position bought at 50%, which has already risen to 56%.
$1,355Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 8.3 - Sharp cluster backing Rinderknech
Three wallets committed $68,091 to Arthur Rinderknech amid a 384x volume spike, including a 95% winner adding to an existing position.
$68,091Score: 7.6 - 193-0 bettor scales into Rinderknech
An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 193-0 record and substantial prior exposure is adding $9,474 to Arthur Rinderknech amid a major volume spike.
$9,474Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 5.9 - 96% win-rate serial trader buys Baez
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and 152 resolved positions made a concentrated $14,000 purchase at near-even odds.
$14,000Wallet win rate: 38%Score: 5.8 - Sharp bettor scaling into Baez
A proven 76% bettor with a meaningful edge is adding to a Baez position bought at 50%, which has already risen to 56%.
$1,111Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial bettor caught Baez move
A highly active and profitable sports trader bought Baez at 55%, followed by a rapid 13-point market move, though their long-term edge is modest.
$1,619Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.9 - Profitable serial bettor caught Baez move
A highly active and profitable sports trader bought Baez at 55%, followed by a rapid 13-point market move, though their long-term edge is modest.
$1,503Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5f659b…2036$14,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 38% wins
- 0x8a3ab8…eb9a$9,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$3,122 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 71% wins
- 0xec23da…24fd$2,466 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Baez vs Rinderknech prediction-market odds?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied chances of Sebastian Baez or Arthur Rinderknech advancing. Check this event page for the latest prices and changes.
What is smart money betting on in Baez vs Rinderknech?
PolySpotter has tracked $14,000 in smart money across the event. The latest alert reports that a serial trader with a 96% win rate bought Baez.
When is the Generali Open match scheduled?
Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech is scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
When does the Baez vs Rinderknech market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve by July 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, or when the match has a confirmed winner. Cancellations and extended delays follow the exchange's stated rules.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
This event covers the match winner: Sebastian Baez or Arthur Rinderknech. The market resolves to the player who advances.