Event

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka

11 signals across 1 market · $50,514 tracked · resolves Apr 13, 2026

This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $50,514 in smart money across 11 signals, including repeated funded-wallet cluster activity and a sharp 4-wallet Wawrinka cluster.

Markets (1)

  1. Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka11 signals · $50,514 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 4-wallet funded sports cluster

    Surface this alert because a profitable high-volume sports trader from a 4-wallet funded cluster bought before a sharp repricing from 86¢ to 96¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike.

    $1,006Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 15.0
  2. 4-wallet funded cluster

    Linked wallets and a serial cross-market bettor bought Baez at 86¢ just before a heavy volume surge and the market has since jumped to 96%, signaling strong directional conviction.

    $1,006Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 15.0
  3. Sharp 4-wallet Wawrinka cluster

    A 4-wallet cluster piled $15.5k into Stan Wawrinka, led by a wallet with 77% win rate and $1.7M profit, during a major pre-match volume surge.

    $15,519Score: 14.2
  4. 4-wallet funded cluster

    A 4-wallet funded cluster bought into a sharp pre-match price dislocation, and this wallet caught Sebastian Baez at 86¢ before the market snapped to 96%.

    $1,248Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 14.0
  5. 4-wallet funded cluster

    Surface this alert because a funded 4-wallet cluster hit a pre-match tennis market during an extreme volume spike and caught a 10-point move from 86¢ to 96¢.

    $1,006Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 14.0
  6. 83% win-rate sports sharp

    A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with an 83% win rate bought Sebastian Baez at 80¢ just before a sharp move to 89¢, suggesting real edge rather than routine flow.

    $1,491Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.5
  7. Profitable cluster buying Baez

    A profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 3-wallet $33.7k one-sided push into Sebastian Baez at 49¢ before a major volume spike and the market has already moved to 60¢.

    $10,219Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 7.5
  8. Sharp serial sports bettor

    A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 77% win rate and $1.73M in realized profit is buying Sebastian Baez at 68¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

    $2,838Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.0
  9. 93% win-rate sports bettor

    A high-win-rate sports bettor with a large, profitable history across hundreds of events bought Sebastian Baez at 71¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest stake size.

    $1,478Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 6.0
  10. Pro sports bettor caught early

    A high-volume sports trader with nearly $1.0M deployed across 31 events bought Sebastian Baez at 56¢ just before a major pre-match volume spike, and the price has already moved to 70¢.

    $13,719Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 4.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xde9f03b8f7$23,938 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 59% wins
  2. 0xfe787d0319$2,838 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
  3. 0x0438299d98$1,491 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  4. 0xc181a80992$1,478 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
  5. 0x230287d6d2$1,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
  6. 0x86fbea03d4$1,006 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  7. 0xfb512d082d$1,006 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
  8. 0x32ccd968b3$1,006 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
  9. 0x0a26051851$985 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Baez vs Wawrinka odds on Polymarket?

The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance that Sebastian Baez or Stan Wawrinka advances from the match. PolySpotter tracks the market alongside smart money activity so you can see both price movement and notable wallet behavior.

What is the smart money doing on Baez vs Wawrinka?

PolySpotter has tracked $50,514 in smart money across 11 signals for this event. Recent alerts include multiple 4-wallet funded clusters and a sharp 4-wallet Wawrinka cluster, suggesting coordinated or high-conviction activity worth monitoring.

Is there notable Wawrinka betting activity?

Yes. One recent PolySpotter alert flagged a sharp 4-wallet Wawrinka cluster, which means multiple tracked wallets showed notable activity around the Wawrinka side of the market.

When does the Baez vs Wawrinka market resolve?

The market is scheduled around the April 6 Monte Carlo Masters match and resolves based on which player advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.