Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka
5 signals across 2 markets · $21,933 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka in Internazionali BNL d'Italia qualifying. Traders are pricing both the match-winner outcome and the set handicap, with $21,933 in smart money tracked across 5 signals, including tennis steam and profitable sports bettors.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 84% winning sports bettor
Proven serial sports bettor with an 84% resolved win rate is buying Carreno Busta at 69¢ in a reasonably liquid tennis market.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial bettor at evens
Profitable serial sports bettor with 61% wins and +$109k P&L placed a $10k even-money bet during a major pre-match volume spike.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new sports bettor
A 7-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets is putting $3.8k on Pablo Carreno Busta in a liquid tennis market.
$3,828Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.0 - 3-wallet tennis steam
Three wallets simultaneously bought Stan Wawrinka around 33¢ and the market has already moved to 50¢, suggesting coordinated tennis steam despite only modest wallet track records.
$5,886Score: 4.1 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Busta at even odds in a thin tennis handicap market.
$1,119Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0ebbb3…cb1a$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x6c8d00…17a2$3,828 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xc18194…6e97$1,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Carreno Busta vs Wawrinka?
This event hub tracks the live prediction-market pricing for Carreno Busta to advance versus Wawrinka to advance, plus the related set handicap market. Check the market prices for the current implied odds.
What markets are included in this Carreno Busta vs Wawrinka event?
The event includes the main match-winner market and a set handicap market: Busta -1.5 sets versus Wawrinka +1.5 sets.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $21,933 in smart money across 5 signals for this event, including alerts from an 84% winning sports bettor, profitable serial bettors, and a 3-wallet tennis steam move.
When does the Carreno Busta vs Wawrinka market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 5, 2026, and the event is set to resolve by May 12, 2026, depending on the official match result and any delay or cancellation rules.
How does this Polymarket tennis event resolve?
The main market resolves to the player who advances: Pablo Carreno Busta if he advances, or Stan Wawrinka if he advances. If the match is canceled, not played, tied, or delayed beyond the rules window, special resolution rules may apply.