Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
20 signals across 1 market · $138,129 tracked · resolves May 27, 2026
This event tracks the Hamburg European Open match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Frances Tiafoe, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter is monitoring the market for smart money activity, including a recent signal from an elite profitable serial bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets on underdog
Surface despite the move against the trade because two highly profitable wallets joined a concentrated $11.7k buy on Tiafoe amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$11,653Score: 18.8 - Elite serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 80% record and $3.6M lifetime profit bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 43¢, with supporting short-term price movement.
$2,992Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 13.2 - Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-scoring one-sided Camilo flow led by profitable sports wallets, including an 82% winner up $632k and a serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate.
$8,834Score: 11.2 - Profitable wallets buying underdog
Three profitable high-volume wallets are taking the same underdog side amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price volatility.
$8,926Score: 9.2 - 46-0 sharp bettor
Elite 46-0 profitable wallet bought Frances Tiafoe at 31¢ despite Carabelli's sharp recent move, making the bettor's track record the core signal.
$3,341Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 9.1 - 80% winner buying momentum
A highly profitable 80% win-rate wallet bought $12.9k of Carabelli into a major volume spike and 40-point price move, making this a strong sharp-bettor follow signal.
$12,900Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.6 - Profitable serial sports sharp
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 74% long-term win rate bought Carabelli amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.9 - Three-wallet contrarian push
Three wallets put $35k on Camilo Ugo Carabelli during a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the main wallet has a poor historical record and the price has since fallen below entry.
$13,335Wallet win rate: 49%Score: 6.1 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli amid a major volume spike and sharp price move from 86% to 92%.
$8,600Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.6 - Sharp tennis bettor buying Tiafoe
Sharp bettor with an 82% historical win rate and strong profit bought Frances Tiafoe amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$2,090Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x113636…0c2e$45,288 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 50% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$15,892 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x871fdf…5ac9$13,335 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
- 0xeda67a…84c5$8,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xef1bfe…8697$4,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x393607…366d$3,341 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x160bf4…4296$3,001 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xf00cdf…f4fe$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$2,971 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 56% wins
FAQs
What are the Carabelli vs Tiafoe prediction market odds?
The market prices reflect traders’ real-time expectations for whether Camilo Ugo Carabelli or Frances Tiafoe will advance in the Hamburg European Open match. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest odds movement and implied probabilities.
Is smart money betting on Carabelli vs Tiafoe?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal from an elite profitable serial bettor. That does not guarantee the result, but it can highlight where experienced prediction-market traders are taking positions.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
This event resolves to Camilo Ugo Carabelli if he advances against Frances Tiafoe, and to Frances Tiafoe if he advances against Carabelli. If the match is canceled, not played, or delayed beyond the market’s rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated event terms.
When does the Carabelli vs Tiafoe market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 20, 2026, with the event expected to resolve by May 27, 2026 at 08:00 UTC, depending on whether the match is completed on time.