Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik
9 signals across 1 market · $268,872 tracked · resolves Oct 17, 2026
Polymarket tracks whether Francisco Cerundolo or Jakub Mensik advances in their Shanghai Rolex Masters match. The event has one head-to-head market, and PolySpotter has flagged a proven serial trader backing Mensik.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Seven-wallet cluster with a proven sharp
Seven wallets put $61,129 behind Cerundolo amid a 170x volume spike, including a bettor with a 96% win rate and strong odds-adjusted results.
$71,753Score: 8.5 - Three-wallet Mensik buying cluster
Three wallets bought Mensik for $91,071 amid a 115.6x volume spike, including a wallet with a strong 1,068-bet track record.
$91,071Score: 8.0 - Proven bettor backs Cerundolo
A highly profitable bettor with 1,969 resolved positions and an 88% win rate has placed a fresh $3,990 bet on Cerundolo.
$3,990Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.6 - Proven 88% winner adding to Cerundolo
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% record across 116 resolved positions is adding to an existing Cerundolo position.
$3,360Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial bettor adding to Mensik
A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor added to an existing Mensik position amid a 24.9x volume spike, though their historical win rate is only modestly above average winning odds.
$3,810Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7 - Proven serial trader backs Mensik
A highly profitable bettor with 2,907 resolved positions and a sustained cross-market record put $5,242 on Mensik at 58%.
$5,242Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7 - New whale adding to Mensik
A newly created wallet added $86K to a $160K existing Mensik position amid an exceptional volume spike, though it has no resolved track record and the price moved against its entry.
$86,473Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial trader adds to Mensik
A profitable high-volume trader added to Mensik as the market rose sharply, though their long-run record does not establish a strong edge.
$1,446Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.9 - Profitable serial trader adds to Mensik
A profitable high-volume trader added to Mensik as the market rose sharply, though their long-run record does not establish a strong edge.
$1,727Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4f5305…67d3$86,473 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$5,242 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$3,990 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xf82868…6129$3,810 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x99aa00…6c5a$3,360 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x0f17aa…0724$3,173 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Cerundolo vs Mensik?
The market prices the chances of Francisco Cerundolo or Jakub Mensik advancing. Check the live market for the latest odds, since prices can change as traders respond to new information.
What is smart money doing in the Cerundolo vs Mensik market?
PolySpotter reports one smart-money signal for this event: a proven serial trader backed Jakub Mensik.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The market covers the match outcome: it resolves to Cerundolo if he advances, or to Mensik if he advances. The exchange's rules cover cases where the match is canceled or no winner is determined.
When does the Cerundolo vs Mensik market resolve?
The market is based on the result of their Shanghai Rolex Masters match and resolves once the exchange determines which player advances, subject to the market's cancellation and deadline rules.