Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
11 signals across 2 markets · $54,472 tracked · resolves May 6, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks prediction-market odds for Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev, including both the match winner market and the Zverev -1.5 set handicap market. PolySpotter is tracking $54,472 in smart money across 11 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp and high-win-rate traders clustering around Zverev while at least one winning trader has bought the underdog side.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 98% winner joins Zverev cluster
A high-score Zverev cluster combines one excellent 98% bettor with coordinated one-sided buying and the price has already moved sharply from their 67–70¢ entries to 82¢.
$11,463Score: 10.5 - 98% winner riding Zverev
Proven 98% win-rate sports bettor bought Zverev before a 21-point move and major volume spike, though the market has already repriced sharply.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 9.6 - 95% sharp bought Zverev
A highly proven sports bettor with a 95% win rate bought Zverev before a sharp move from 82% to 90%, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
$6,400Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 9.4 - 88% winner buying underdog
A proven sports bettor with an 88% record is buying the Cobolli underdog amid a major pre-match volume surge.
$1,957Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.7 - Serial trader caught Zverev move
Serial cross-market trader bought Zverev before a major market-wide move, with volume spiking and odds rising from 84% to 90%.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.6 - 9-hour wallet backing Zverev
Very new repeat bettor bought Zverev on a thin tennis handicap market, with this trade nearly matching prior 24h volume.
$1,317Score: 6.0 - Proven sharp buying underdog
Proven profitable wallet with 76% historical win rate and extensive cross-market sports activity is buying Cobolli at 30¢.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - Coordinated underdog buying
Four wallets bought $20k of Cobolli at 5¢ within seconds, including one highly profitable bettor, amid a 27x volume spike and an immediate move to 8¢.
$20,046Score: 5.9 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a long resolved history is taking a $3.3k contrarian shot on the 11¢ underdog in a highly active tennis market.
$3,300Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.0 - Profitable tennis sharp backs underdog
A proven profitable wallet with a 79% record and $194k lifetime P&L is buying Cobolli +1.5 in a moderately thin tennis handicap market.
$1,360Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x51eb09…6bfa$6,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x4f7582…af7e$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x27b0f6…fc67$3,300 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x016582…8235$1,957 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xae3019…079e$1,360 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x930141…bf02$1,317 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x8c80d2…02c3$1,228 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Cobolli vs Zverev prediction market odds?
The event includes markets for the match winner and the set handicap, so traders can price both who advances and whether Zverev wins comfortably. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart money activity to show how sentiment is shifting before the Madrid Open match.
What is the smart money doing on Cobolli vs Zverev?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple strong signals on Alexander Zverev, including a 98% winner joining a Zverev cluster, a 95% sharp buying Zverev, and a serial trader caught moving on Zverev. There is also an alert noting an 88% winner buying the underdog, suggesting some resistance on the Cobolli side.
What markets are included in this Madrid Open event?
This event covers two related Polymarket markets: the main Cobolli vs Zverev match winner market and a set handicap market for Zverev -1.5 versus Cobolli +1.5. Together, they show both outright win expectations and expectations for the match margin.
When does the Cobolli vs Zverev market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by May 6, 2026. It resolves based on which player advances, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s rules.
How much smart money is being tracked on this event?
PolySpotter is tracking $54,472 in smart money across 11 signals for the Cobolli vs Zverev event. These signals highlight activity from sharp traders, high-win-rate accounts, and notable position clusters across the related markets.