National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo
22 signals across 1 market · $932,187 tracked · resolves Aug 12, 2026
Follow the National Bank Open prediction market for Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo, with traded outcomes covering which player advances. PolySpotter tracks $89,504 in smart money across the event, including two recent signals showing a sharp bettor scaling into Diallo.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked wallets backing Darderi
Five linked wallets committed $165,689 toward Darderi, including a proven 85% win-rate bettor, while the price rose from 71% to 78%.
$165,689Score: 9.9 - Serial sharp bettor backs Darderi
A proven 85% win-rate serial trader made a $53K concentrated exit from Diallo, reinforcing a bullish Darderi thesis despite an existing position.
$65,079Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.6 - Linked wallets backing Diallo
Three wallets, including two linked by a funder, made an $8.2K one-sided bet on Diallo despite the market pricing him at only 36%, though the traders lack a clearly superior historical edge.
$8,178Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor trimming Darderi
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate traded Darderi during a major volume spike, although most of the activity appears to be position reduction rather than fresh conviction.
$33,886Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Diallo
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate is adding roughly $37.6K to an existing Gabriel Diallo position in a thin market.
$177,137Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Darderi
A proven, highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate is adding $18.5K to an existing Darderi position during a 10.3x volume spike.
$14,834Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor trimming Darderi
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate traded Darderi during a major volume spike, although most of the activity appears to be position reduction rather than fresh conviction.
$15,500Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Darderi
A highly profitable bettor with 83% wins and a substantial edge is adding to an existing Darderi position at 41%.
$8,500Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Darderi
A proven, highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate is adding $18.5K to an existing Darderi position during a 10.3x volume spike.
$18,524Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Darderi
A proven, highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate is adding $18.5K to an existing Darderi position during a 10.3x volume spike.
$18,440Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe30e74…6b87$605,061 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xca97f5…49f6$148,867 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 83% wins
- 0xe558bb…dcd2$2,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xacf838…e791$1,593 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
FAQs
What are the Darderi vs Diallo prediction-market odds?
The market tracks the implied odds of Luciano Darderi or Gabriel Diallo advancing in their National Bank Open match. Check the live event page for current prices and probability changes.
What is smart money doing in the Darderi vs Diallo market?
PolySpotter has recorded two recent alerts, both showing a sharp bettor scaling into Gabriel Diallo. Total smart money tracked across the event is $89,504.
When does the Darderi vs Diallo market resolve?
The match is scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market is set to resolve by August 12, 2026 at 12:30 AM UTC, subject to its resolution rules.
What outcomes are traded in this National Bank Open market?
The event covers two outcomes: Luciano Darderi advances or Gabriel Diallo advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated time limit without a winner, the market follows the exchange's rules.