National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik
8 signals across 1 market · $42,071 tracked · resolves Aug 13, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the National Bank Open match between Jacob Fearnley and Jakub Mensik, with outcomes traded for either player to advance. PolySpotter is tracking $4,000 in smart money, including a recent alert showing sharp scaling into Fearnley.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 14-wallet Mensik betting cluster
A 14-wallet, three-funder cluster placed $122,506 on Jakub Mensik, strongly corroborating this bettor's $1,000 entry despite only modest individual edge.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 10.2 - Linked wallets piling into Mensik
Three wallets, including two linked accounts, added $17.3K to Jakub Mensik during a 260x volume spike, although their existing positions on both sides reduce the purity of the signal.
$21,523Score: 7.0 - Large serial bettor backs Mensik
A highly active bettor placed a sizable Mensik position that represented 562% of detected 24-hour volume, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-based edge.
$1,719Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.1 - Serial trader backing Mensik
A highly experienced serial trader with 527 resolved bets bought Mensik at 73¢ during a sharp 42.9-point upward price move.
$2,497Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 6.0 - Serial trader backing Mensik
A highly experienced serial trader with 527 resolved bets bought Mensik at 73¢ during a sharp 42.9-point upward price move.
$1,490Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 4.0 - Large serial bettor backs Mensik
A highly active bettor placed a sizable Mensik position that represented 562% of detected 24-hour volume, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-based edge.
$2,166Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.8 - Large serial bettor backs Mensik
A highly active bettor placed a sizable Mensik position that represented 562% of detected 24-hour volume, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-based edge.
$7,676Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.0 - 40-0 sharp scaling into Fearnley
A proven 40-0 bettor is adding $4,000 to an existing Fearnley position at 31¢ in a thin market.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 1.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$11,561 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xb7aba0…a2d1$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x1f7105…b2e4$3,987 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xeb77d9…ef9e$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Fearnley vs Mensik prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability of Jacob Fearnley or Jakub Mensik advancing. Check the live event page for the latest prices and probability changes.
What is the smart money doing in the Fearnley vs Mensik market?
PolySpotter tracks $4,000 in smart money across this event. The latest alert, “40-0 sharp scaling into Fearnley,” indicates notable sharp activity supporting Fearnley.
When is the Fearnley vs Mensik match scheduled?
The National Bank Open match is scheduled for August 6, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
When will this Polymarket event resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by August 13, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances; cancellation, a tie, or an extended delay may trigger the market’s stated fallback rules.