HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo
13 signals across 1 market · $118,795 tracked · resolves Jun 26, 2026
This HSBC Championships event tracks the prediction market for Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo, where traders are pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $1,105 in smart money activity, with recent signals showing 79% winner backing on the favorite.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet linked tennis steam
Strong one-sided tennis cluster: eight wallets, including linked accounts and serial cross-market traders, bought $41K of Francisco Cerundolo before the price moved to 100%.
$41,214Score: 21.0 - Sharp tennis cluster buying Fery
Four profitable, high-volume tennis bettors bought Arthur Fery together, driving a 25-point move in a liquid match market.
$5,467Score: 14.0 - 95% winner loads $45K
Elite 95% win-rate tennis bettor with $5.3M lifetime profit bought $45K of Arthur Fery amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$45,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 11.9 - Sharp tennis cluster
Four wallets, including two profitable high-win-rate bettors, all backed Arthur Fery in a coordinated $10.2k move with major price impact.
$10,224Score: 11.1 - 86% winner caught move
Sharp tennis bettor with an 86% long-term win rate bought Arthur Fery at 53¢ before the market moved sharply to 74¢.
$1,305Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.3 - Elite 87% tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Arthur Fery at 54¢ before the market moved to 74¢.
$1,445Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 7.3 - Profitable serial tennis trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor sold out of Cerundolo at 73¢ ahead of a sharp move down, though this looks partly like profit-taking rather than a fresh full-size contrarian entry.
$1,639Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 6.6 - New 8-0 tennis bettor
Very new wallet with repeat large-bet flags, an 8-0 resolved record, and positive early P&L is buying the favorite at 83¢.
$2,672Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial sports bettor bought Arthur Fery as an underdog, with a modest volume-spike signal but the price has since moved against the entry.
$1,398Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.1 - Profitable 21-hour tennis wallet
A 21-hour-old wallet with early positive P&L is placing another meaningful tennis bet, suggesting possible sharp sports positioning despite a short track record.
$1,518Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$45,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x54bab0…04e4$2,940 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x698204…a165$2,868 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x8d0624…f79d$2,672 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xd12321…d341$1,639 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xea1a56…ac77$1,518 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xc3df24…9945$1,445 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,398 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$1,305 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x309270…4aa9$1,105 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo?
The market odds reflect the live Polymarket-implied probability for each player to advance in the HSBC Championships match. This event hub tracks the full market for both Arthur Fery and Francisco Cerundolo as prices move.
What is the smart money doing on Fery vs Cerundolo?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,105 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert showing 79% winner backing the favorite. That suggests sharper traders have leaned toward the market favorite so far.
How does the Fery vs Cerundolo prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Arthur Fery if he advances against Francisco Cerundolo, and to Francisco Cerundolo if he advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s event terms.
When does the Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo market resolve?
The match was scheduled for June 19, 2026, with the market resolving after the winner is determined. The listed resolution deadline is June 26, 2026 at 08:00 UTC.