Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
8 signals across 3 markets · $217,263 tracked · resolves Aug 30, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Cincinnati Open match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe. The event covers both the match winner and the over/under 23.5 games market, with PolySpotter tracking $14,784 in smart money and two recent signals, including a Tiafoe underdog cluster and an oversized Over bet.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 20-wallet Tiafoe conviction cluster
Twenty wallets committed $107,911 to Tiafoe, including several highly profitable bettors, despite the position falling from roughly 35¢ to 14¢.
$107,911Score: 10.1 - Sharp wallets scaling into Fils
Nine wallets deployed $88.5K on Arthur Fils amid a 91x volume spike, with several highly profitable bettors adding to already large positions as the price rose 15 percentage points.
$88,506Score: 9.0 - Sharp serial bettor backs Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is backing Tiafoe in a competitive tennis handicap market.
$1,475Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 7.4 - 91% win-rate bettor backs Tiafoe
A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is taking Frances Tiafoe at 34% in a liquid tennis market.
$2,550Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.8 - Million-dollar serial bettor backs Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate and $1.76M lifetime profit made a concentrated $9,140 bet on Tiafoe.
$9,140Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.6 - 94% win-rate bettor buys Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge bought Tiafoe at 59 cents.
$1,085Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Serial bettor makes oversized Over bet
A serial cross-market bettor with 130 resolved trades made a large Over purchase in a thin market, though the existing two-sided position and adverse price move temper conviction.
$3,687Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.0 - Serial bettor makes oversized Over bet
A serial cross-market bettor with 130 resolved trades made a large Over purchase in a thin market, though the existing two-sided position and adverse price move temper conviction.
$2,908Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf377b9…4159$9,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x168072…490d$6,595 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$2,550 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$1,475 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$1,085 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe odds?
The live prediction-market odds show how traders assess Fils and Tiafoe's chances of advancing, along with the likelihood of the match going over or under 23.5 games. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as trading continues.
What markets are available for Fils vs Tiafoe?
This Cincinnati Open event includes a match-winner market for Arthur Fils or Frances Tiafoe and a total-games market with a 23.5-game line.
What is smart money doing on the Fils vs Tiafoe prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $14,784 in smart money across the event and two signals. Recent activity includes a four-wallet Tiafoe underdog cluster and a serial bettor making an oversized Over bet.
When will the Fils vs Tiafoe market resolve?
The winner market resolves to Fils or Tiafoe based on who advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or no winner is determined by the stated deadline, the market follows the exchange's listed resolution rules.