Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
6 signals across 2 markets · $50,002 tracked · resolves Oct 9, 2026
PolySpotter tracks the Japan Open matchup between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe, with the listed market asking whether the match will last over or under 2.5 sets. The event has $1,000 in tracked smart-money activity and one signal from a bettor with 533 positions and a reported 98% win rate.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Tiafoe buying surge
Three wallets added $33.8K to Tiafoe during a 119.7x volume spike, including one with a strong 64% record, though the market price has since fallen below their entries.
$37,524Score: 7.1 - 95% winner backs Tiafoe
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% record across 590 resolved positions bought Frances Tiafoe at 33¢, making this a strong track-record-backed signal.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 533-position bettor with 98% wins
A highly profitable bettor with 533 resolved positions is buying Over at 42¢, supported by a long-running cross-market record.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.6 - Profitable 83% bettor adding to Tiafoe
A highly profitable bettor with 320 resolved positions and an 83% win rate added to an existing Frances Tiafoe position at 30¢.
$4,816Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial trader adding to Fils
A bettor with an 82% win rate across 864 resolved markets and $108K in profit is adding to an Arthur Fils position.
$2,086Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.3 - Serial bettor adds to Fils position
A serial cross-market bettor added to an existing Fils position during a 146.8x pre-event volume spike, though their track record shows only modest edge.
$2,775Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3f985e…0aa1$4,816 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x86eb13…6566$2,775 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$2,086 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x787969…3653$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe prediction-market odds?
The listed market is on total sets: over or under 2.5. Check the market for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What outcomes are traded for this Japan Open match?
The child market listed for this event is whether Fils vs Tiafoe lasts more than 2.5 sets or fewer than 2.5 sets.
What is smart money doing on Fils vs Tiafoe?
PolySpotter tracks $1,000 in smart-money activity and one signal from a bettor with 533 positions and a reported 98% win rate. The alert does not specify which side of the total-sets market they backed.
When is the Fils vs Tiafoe market scheduled to resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 4:30 a.m. ET. The event page lists a resolution deadline of October 9, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. UTC; check the market rules for how cancellations or an undetermined result are handled.