Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils
24 signals across 1 market · $132,217 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This event tracks the Roland Garros ATP match between Hugo Gaston and Gael Monfils, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter has flagged $1,181 in smart money activity, including a signal from a proven tennis bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster backing Gaston
High-conviction one-sided Gaston flow from 8 wallets, including multiple profitable sports/cross-market traders, drove a major price move before the match.
$29,663Score: 24.0 - Sharp cluster buying Monfils
High-scoring coordinated Monfils flow with sharp profitable wallets, a major price move, and a large pre-event volume spike.
$23,614Score: 21.2 - 96% sharp backing Gaston
Extremely profitable 96% win-rate wallet bought Hugo Gaston, with supporting one-sided clustered flow despite the price moving sharply against the entry.
$4,900Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 19.1 - 86% winner in linked cluster
High-scoring Gaston buy from an 86% lifetime winner, supported by six-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite price moving against the entry.
$1,342Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 14.0 - Profitable serial trader joins cluster
High-conviction Hugo Gaston buy from a massively profitable serial sports trader, reinforced by one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,297Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 14.0 - 96% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with large positive P&L bought $6,000 of Hugo Gaston amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum.
$6,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.5 - 98% serial sports sharp
Elite profitable wallet with a 98% historical win rate bought Gael Monfils despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
$1,156Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 10.3 - 92% win-rate tennis sharp
A proven 92% win-rate bettor bought Gaston at 57¢ before a major volume spike and 19-point price move, making this a strong sharp-wallet signal despite the market already moving to 78¢.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.1 - Cluster chasing Monfils move
Four wallets bought $10.5k of Monfils together as the price jumped from the low 60s to 72%, including a repeat new wallet with positive early P&L and several profitable high-volume bettors.
$10,478Score: 8.5 - Unbeaten sharp buyer
A proven sharp wallet with a 26-0 resolved record and $82k profit bought $5k of Hugo Gaston at 46¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2005d1…75ea$12,250 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x03f8db…d85a$10,900 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$7,575 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x04808d…0a91$5,002 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xddfc67…bd59$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x187a72…a22b$4,811 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xae5123…1d03$4,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x8c73d0…6daf$3,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xbdc3e4…c0ea$2,297 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils?
The event’s odds reflect the market-implied probability of either Hugo Gaston or Gael Monfils advancing at Roland Garros. Prices can move as traders react to form, injury news, matchup factors, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Gaston vs Monfils?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,181 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert tied to a proven tennis bettor. That signal can help identify where sharper prediction-market traders may be taking a position.
How does this Roland Garros prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Hugo Gaston if Gaston advances, and to Gael Monfils if Monfils advances. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond the allowed window, resolution follows the market rules.
When does the Gaston vs Monfils market resolve?
The event is scheduled for May 24, 2026, with resolution expected once the match winner is determined. The listed resolve-by time is May 31, 2026 at 09:00 UTC.