Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
54 signals across 4 markets · $255,009 tracked · resolves Jun 7, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at Roland Garros ATP, where traders are pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has detected $1,000 in smart-money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor, giving followers extra context beyond the headline odds.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% winner backs Jodar
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet made an $18.7k Rafael Jodar buy, backed by one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite the market moving against the entry.
$18,690Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 17.9 - Sharp cluster backs underdog
Four wallets, including two highly profitable sharp tennis bettors, took the Pablo Carreno Busta side despite the market later moving against them.
$7,752Score: 16.0 - 86% winner on Jodar
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought Rafael Jodar, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
$1,135Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 15.9 - Profitable sharp joins 6-wallet push
A highly profitable 80% winner with $3.95M lifetime P&L bought Pablo Carreno Busta amid coordinated same-side flow and a sharp price move.
$9,604Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 15.0 - Sharp bettor with 10-wallet flow
A highly profitable 90% winner bought Rafael Jodar alongside heavy one-sided flow from 10 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price now trading below their entry.
$7,377Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 13.9 - Profitable serial bettor flips sides
High-scoring alert led by a proven profitable bettor with a 75% record across 747 resolved bets, supported by nine-wallet one-sided flow into Rafael Jodar despite recent price volatility.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 13.2 - Sharp joins 9-wallet push
A proven profitable tennis bettor bought Rafael Jodar alongside a 9-wallet one-sided push and a major pre-match volume spike.
$1,140Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 13.2 - Sharp bettor fading favorite
A profitable 78% win-rate serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Pablo Carreno Busta at 38¢ alongside one-sided flow and a sharp price move against Rafael Jodar.
$1,014Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 12.8 - Four-wallet sharp cluster
Four profitable wallets, including a high-volume bettor up $14.2M lifetime and an 86% winner, bought the same side in a coordinated $14.1k cluster with notable price movement.
$14,124Score: 12.5 - 87% winner buying favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $126k lifetime profit bought Pablo Carreno Busta as the market moved sharply upward.
$5,070Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 12.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x49007e…4a72$22,715 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$22,635 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xdbbbde…05a8$20,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$19,029 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x6b91e8…06c4$18,690 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$12,800 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x2fa0ad…be6d$12,122 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x526852…135d$9,714 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 53% wins
- 0xc11738…de2f$8,517 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0xd12321…d341$7,713 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Jodar vs Carreno Busta prediction-market odds?
The odds on this event come from Polymarket trading on which player will advance: Rafael Jodar or Pablo Carreno Busta. As traders buy and sell positions, the market-implied probabilities can move before and during the match.
What is the smart money doing on Jodar vs Carreno Busta?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart-money activity on this event, with a recent alert tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That signal can help users see whether experienced sports traders are taking a side.
How does this Roland Garros ATP market resolve?
The market resolves to Rafael Jodar if he advances against Pablo Carreno Busta, and to Pablo Carreno Busta if Carreno Busta advances. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond the allowed resolution window, the market follows Polymarket’s stated cancellation rules.
When does the Jodar vs Carreno Busta market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by June 7, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, depending on the official match result and any delays.