Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
20 signals across 3 markets · $313,246 tracked · resolves Jul 8, 2026
This Wimbledon ATP prediction market covers the match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter is tracking $2,274 in smart-money activity on the event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 9-wallet tennis whale cluster
A large 9-wallet cluster is pushing $166.9k into Pablo Carreno Busta amid a 110x volume spike, with participation from highly profitable and high-win-rate traders.
$166,909Score: 17.7 - Profitable bettors fading favorite
A high-P&L serial sports trader and a second profitable wallet are fading the favorite, but the signal is tempered because some flow looks like closing prior Pablo Carreno Busta positions and larger money is on the other side.
$6,111Score: 15.5 - Sharp 8-wallet Jodar cluster
Eight wallets, including several highly profitable tennis/sports bettors with exceptional resolved records, are aligned on Rafael Jodar despite the market being liquid.
$17,299Score: 15.0 - Winning bettor joins 7-wallet flow
Profitable serial cross-market trader sold Rafael Jodar as part of a 7-wallet, $58.6k one-sided move toward Pablo Carreno Busta amid a major volume spike.
$11,588Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 11.0 - 87% winner backs underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% track record and $137k profit bought Rafael Jodar amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$1,119Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.6 - New whale buying No
New wallet put $17.8k on No in a thin match-completion market, coinciding with a major volume spike and a fast price move.
$17,850Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 9.1 - 7-wallet tennis steam
High-scoring tennis alert driven by 7 wallets buying Pablo Carreno Busta together during a 45x pre-event volume spike, with a profitable high-volume bettor participating.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 9.0 - 7-wallet tennis steam
High-scoring tennis alert driven by 7 wallets buying Pablo Carreno Busta together during a 45x pre-event volume spike, with a profitable high-volume bettor participating.
$1,636Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.0 - Elite sports sharp
Elite high-sample bettor with 86% win rate and $180k profit bought Rafael Jodar at 60¢ before the market moved to 74¢.
$1,153Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.0 - New whale betting match void
A 16-day-old repeat large bettor put $7.45k on No in a thin tennis match-completion market, large enough to materially move prices and signal strong conviction.
$12,900Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdb859a…152f$44,387 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x9dd9f8…4de1$38,199 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x9e86ad…6dfb$11,588 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xf3b04d…23a1$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xeb77d9…ef9e$7,287 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 74% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$2,274 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xd12321…d341$2,082 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$1,849 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x626149…2e11$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xd4c3d2…60d9$1,489 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Jodar vs Carreno Busta prediction market odds?
The market odds reflect the current Polymarket pricing for Rafael Jodar to advance versus Pablo Carreno Busta to advance. Prices can move as traders react to lineup news, form, injuries, weather delays, and betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Jodar vs Carreno Busta?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,274 in smart-money activity on this event, including an alert tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That signal may indicate where experienced prediction-market traders are finding value.
How does this Wimbledon ATP Polymarket event resolve?
The event resolves to Rafael Jodar if he advances against Pablo Carreno Busta, and to Pablo Carreno Busta if Carreno Busta advances. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than seven days beyond the scheduled time, special market rules may apply.
When does the Jodar vs Carreno Busta market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, and the market is set to resolve by July 8, 2026, depending on when an official winner is determined.