Event

Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur

11 signals across 1 market · $78,301 tracked · resolves May 1, 2026

This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance between Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur. PolySpotter is monitoring $78,301 in smart money across 11 signals, including notable wallet clusters on both Jodar and de Minaur plus an 84% win-rate sharp alert.

Markets (1)

  1. Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur11 signals · $78,301 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 11-wallet linked tennis surge

    A linked 11-wallet cluster piled nearly $50k into Rafael Jodar as the market ripped from roughly 46-82¢ to 100%, and at least one participant has a strong 76% win-rate record across hundreds of resolved bets.

    $49,084Score: 26.7
  2. 5-wallet Jodar cluster

    A very new wallet is part of a 5-wallet coordinated push into Rafael Jodar ahead of a sharp volume and price spike, making this a notable momentum and conviction signal despite no proven track record yet.

    $2,567Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 15.8
  3. 9-wallet de Minaur cluster

    A 4-day-old wallet with repeated large betting activity joined a 9-wallet one-sided push into Alex de Minaur at 53¢, and that side has since moved to a resolved 100%.

    $1,282Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 15.7
  4. 84% win-rate sharp

    An 84% win-rate serial cross-market trader with over $1.17M in volume bought Alex de Minaur, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

    $1,598Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 14.2
  5. 5-wallet Jodar cluster

    A very new wallet joined a 5-wallet coordinated buy into Rafael Jodar during a sharp volume and price surge, suggesting conviction worth watching despite the small individual ticket size.

    $992Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 13.8
  6. 84% winner leads cluster

    Three wallets bought Alex de Minaur in sync, and one is a high-volume bettor with an 84% win rate across 803 markets, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite the other two weaker wallets.

    $5,951Score: 8.1
  7. 94% win-rate bettor

    A highly profitable wallet with a 94% win rate and long history is backing Alex de Minaur at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

    $1,949Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0
  8. 76% win-rate sports sharp

    A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong long-term edge is buying into a match drawing unusual pre-event activity, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the price slipping after entry.

    $4,797Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.3
  9. 78% win-rate sports bettor

    A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate made a market-moving $2.7k buy into a thin tennis market, a pattern consistent with this wallet’s broad cross-market edge.

    $2,681Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.0
  10. Proven sharp backing underdog

    A very active and highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate put $4.2k on Rafael Jodar at 46¢, making this a notable sharp-money signal despite only one detection flag.

    $4,169Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xfe787d0319$7,401 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
  2. 0x33c96d6f9a$4,797 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
  3. 0xbc68e0f899$3,849 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
  4. 0xa82a8aa759$2,681 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  5. 0xba8179dc35$1,949 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  6. 0xe394fd289c$1,598 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
  7. 0x4c104eb6a4$992 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Jodar vs de Minaur prediction market odds?

The market prices reflect the crowd-implied probability that either Rafael Jodar or Alex de Minaur advances in their Madrid Open match. On PolySpotter, you can follow how those odds move alongside smart-money activity.

What is the smart money doing on Jodar vs de Minaur?

PolySpotter has tracked $78,301 in smart money across 11 signals for this event. Recent alerts include an 11-wallet linked tennis surge, a 9-wallet de Minaur cluster, multiple 5-wallet Jodar clusters, and activity from an 84% win-rate sharp.

Are bettors backing Rafael Jodar or Alex de Minaur?

Recent alerts show clustered buying on both sides: a 9-wallet cluster connected to de Minaur and repeated 5-wallet clusters on Jodar. That makes this a useful market to watch for late odds shifts before the match.

When does the Jodar vs de Minaur market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve once the match winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of May 1, 2026. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the market rules, it resolves according to Polymarket’s stated conditions.