Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
4 signals across 1 market · $10,087 tracked · resolves May 26, 2026
This event tracks the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Gilles Arnaud Bailly, with prediction-market odds focused on which player advances. PolySpotter has identified $2,715 in tracked smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable high-volume tennis bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet tennis steam
Three wallets bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the same direction and helped drive a sharp move from about 38¢ to 72¢, though the wallets do not have elite track records.
$5,023Score: 6.5 - Serial sports trader caught move
Serial cross-market sports trader bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 78¢ before the market moved to 94¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
$1,340Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Profitable high-volume tennis bettor
A high-volume profitable sports bettor bought Gilles Arnaud Bailly on a relatively quiet tennis market, taking over half of recent volume and already seeing the price move from 47¢ to 51¢.
$2,715Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Kjaer at 70¢ before the market moved to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing, though the copy window has likely passed.
$1,009Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2005d1…75ea$3,724 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 56% wins
- 0xbdc3e4…c0ea$1,340 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Kjaer vs Bailly prediction-market odds?
The event’s odds reflect how traders are pricing whether Nicolai Budkov Kjaer or Gilles Arnaud Bailly will advance in their Roland Garros qualifying match. Check the live market for the latest implied probabilities, as tennis odds can move quickly before and during play.
What is the smart money doing on Kjaer vs Bailly?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,715 in smart money activity on this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable high-volume tennis bettor. That suggests at least one experienced tennis-market participant has taken a position in the match.
Is this a Polymarket market for the whole match?
Yes. This event covers the match outcome market for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly, resolving based on which player advances in Roland Garros ATP qualifying.
When does the Kjaer vs Bailly market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, and the event is expected to resolve by May 26, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. Resolution depends on the official match result and the market rules for cancellations or delays.