China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea
7 signals across 2 markets · $14,159 tracked · resolves Oct 6, 2026
This China Open qualifying prediction market covers whether Tomas Machac or Arthur Gea advances, with outcomes traded for both players. PolySpotter has tracked $2,618 in smart money and one recent signal: a profitable serial trader adding to Machac.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 94% winner backs Arthur Gea
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and more than $1.6 million in reported profit is backing Arthur Gea with a $2,001 position.
$2,001Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.6 - 82% winner backs Arthur Gea
A highly profitable bettor with 308 resolved positions and an 82% win rate is backing Arthur Gea with a nearly $2,918 position.
$2,918Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - 84% winner adding to position
A proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial profit is adding to an existing Tomas Machac position at 42¢.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.4 - 84% winner adding to position
A proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial profit is adding to an existing Tomas Machac position at 42¢.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial bettor adding to Machac
A profitable bettor with an 86% win rate is adding to an existing position on Tomas Machac, with a strong serial cross-market record.
$1,855Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial trader adding to Machac
A highly active cross-market trader with 74% wins and over $1.1M profit added to an existing Machac position, though the market-specific signal is modest.
$2,618Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader bets into thin market
A profitable, highly active sports-market trader placed a nearly $2,000 bet into a market with no reported 24-hour volume and limited liquidity, though the wallet's record does not establish a clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,968Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3f985e…0aa1$2,918 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x1410a3…26bb$2,800 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$2,618 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$2,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xae5123…1d03$1,968 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xc29302…fac3$1,855 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Machac vs Gea?
The market tracks the implied odds of Tomas Machac or Arthur Gea advancing. Check the live market for current prices, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is smart money doing in the Machac vs Gea market?
PolySpotter reported one signal: a profitable serial trader adding to Machac. The event has $2,618 in tracked smart-money activity; this signal does not guarantee the match outcome.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The market resolves to Tomas Machac if he advances against Arthur Gea, or to Arthur Gea if he advances. If the match is not played, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by the stated deadline, the market follows its cancellation rules.
When does the Machac vs Gea prediction market resolve?
The event metadata lists October 6, 2026 at 03:00 UTC as the resolution time. The market may resolve once the match outcome is determined, subject to its rules.