National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi
9 signals across 1 market · $99,256 tracked · resolves Aug 12, 2026
The National Bank Open prediction market tracks whether Fabian Marozsan or Matteo Arnaldi advances in their tennis matchup scheduled for August 5, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $9,822 in smart money across the event, including an alert showing a profitable whale scaling into Marozsan.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor scaling into Marozsan
A proven tennis bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Fabian Marozsan position at 57%.
$4,351Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 9.9 - Coordinated sharp-money Arnaldi push
A large coordinated move toward Matteo Arnaldi included several highly profitable bettors, including a 91% winner up $2.76 million, though many trades appear retrospective after resolution.
$48,955Score: 9.3 - Sharp bettor in 14-wallet Marozsan cluster
A historically exceptional bettor joined a 14-wallet, $80.8K one-sided move on Marozsan, though the position has since collapsed to zero.
$20,106Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 8.6 - Sharp bettor joins 14-wallet cluster
A proven, profitable bettor made a concentrated Fabian Marozsan bet alongside 14 wallets, though the market has since moved to 0% and the trade is no longer actionable.
$6,441Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.6 - Elite tennis bettor backs Arnaldi
A highly proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is buying Matteo Arnaldi at 43¢.
$3,812Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.6 - 91% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate across 4,238 resolved positions is buying Matteo Arnaldi at 42%, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.4 - Proven serial bettor adds to Marozsan
A highly experienced bettor with 561 resolved trades, a 79% win rate, and substantial positive edge added to an existing Fabian Marozsan position.
$2,222Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.4 - Proven serial bettor adds to Marozsan
A highly experienced bettor with 561 resolved trades, a 79% win rate, and substantial positive edge added to an existing Fabian Marozsan position.
$2,497Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7 - Profitable whale scales into Marozsan
A profitable high-volume serial trader added nearly $10,000 to an existing Marozsan position in an exceptionally quiet market, though the lack of price movement and only moderate win rate temper the signal.
$9,822Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 3.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$20,106 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x8a3ab8…eb9a$9,822 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xca97f5…49f6$6,441 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x48de48…95ba$4,719 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xa7a4d7…e371$4,351 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xdb859a…152f$3,812 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Marozsan vs Arnaldi prediction-market odds?
The market trades the two possible match outcomes: Fabian Marozsan advances or Matteo Arnaldi advances. Check the live event page for current Polymarket prices and implied odds.
What is the smart money doing in the Marozsan vs Arnaldi market?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,822 in smart money across this event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a profitable whale scaled into Marozsan.
When is the Marozsan vs Arnaldi match scheduled?
The National Bank Open match is scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET.
When does the Marozsan vs Arnaldi prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by August 12, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances; cancellation, a tie, or an extended delay may affect resolution under the market rules.