Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto
6 signals across 1 market · $29,768 tracked · resolves Jul 6, 2026
This event tracks the Quito tennis match between Mwendwa Mbithi and Matias Soto, with prediction-market odds centered on which player advances. PolySpotter has flagged one smart money signal on this matchup, including activity from a 99% win-rate tennis sharp, with $1,249 in tracked smart money across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 97% winner buying dip
A highly profitable 97% winner led a $18.8k three-wallet buy cluster on Matias Soto after a major price drop, supported by a large pre-event volume spike.
$18,841Score: 16.8 - 97% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite 97% win-rate tennis bettor bought Matias Soto at 39¢ before the market moved sharply to 66¢, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.
$5,416Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.3 - 99% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite cross-market bettor with 99% resolved win rate and +$505k P&L bought Mwendwa Mbithi at 48%, ahead of a sharp move to 62%.
$1,249Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.8 - 94% winner buying tennis
Surface: a highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% record and major lifetime profit bought Mwendwa Mbithi despite recent sharp price movement.
$1,468Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - 94% winner buying tennis
Surface: a highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% record and major lifetime profit bought Mwendwa Mbithi despite recent sharp price movement.
$1,468Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - 99% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite cross-market bettor with 99% resolved win rate and +$505k P&L bought Mwendwa Mbithi at 48%, ahead of a sharp move to 62%.
$1,326Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5f659b…2036$5,416 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x594d0c…059d$2,935 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x698204…a165$2,575 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the current Mbithi vs Soto odds on Polymarket?
The event page tracks the live prediction-market price for whether Mwendwa Mbithi or Matias Soto advances in their Quito match. Odds can move as bettors react to lineup news, form, injuries, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Mbithi vs Soto?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,249 in smart money across this event and one recent signal, including an alert tied to a 99% win-rate tennis sharp. That suggests at least one historically strong tennis bettor has taken a position in the market.
When does the Mbithi vs Soto market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, and the event is expected to resolve by July 6, 2026, if a winner is determined within the allowed window.
How does this Quito tennis prediction market settle?
The market resolves to Mwendwa Mbithi if Mbithi advances, and to Matias Soto if Soto advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, it may resolve according to the market’s cancellation or delay rules.