Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz
5 signals across 3 markets · $28,279 tracked · resolves Nov 7, 2026
Polymarket traders are weighing whether Daniil Medvedev or Carlos Alcaraz will advance in their Erste Bank Open match, scheduled for October 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks odds on both outcomes and has flagged a high-volume bettor backing Alcaraz.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial trader joins three-wallet buy
Three wallets bought Medvedev near 30–33¢, including a highly profitable serial trader, though the market has since fallen to 20¢.
$9,595Score: 6.1 - 95% winner adding to Alcaraz
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Alcaraz position amid a 43.6x volume spike.
$3,989Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.1 - New repeat bettor adding to Medvedev
A very new repeat bettor is adding to an existing Medvedev position with a $1,500 buy, though the wallet's perfect record is based on only two resolved bets.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial bettor adding to Alcaraz
A profitable serial cross-market bettor added to an existing Alcaraz position with a large trade in a relatively quiet market.
$1,456Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.5 - Proven high-volume bettor backs Alcaraz
A highly experienced, strongly profitable bettor made a sizable Alcaraz purchase, with a modest historical win-rate edge over average winning prices.
$11,739Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$11,739 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xc1a927…e2db$3,989 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xb29b80…d21b$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xd6f9f9…e95d$1,456 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Medvedev vs Alcaraz?
The event page tracks the market price for each player advancing. Odds can change as traders place bets, so check the live market for current prices.
What is the smart money doing in this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,739 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal: a proven high-volume bettor backing Carlos Alcaraz.
Who does the market say will advance?
The market trades separate outcomes for Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz. Compare their live prices to see which outcome traders currently favor.
When does the Medvedev vs Alcaraz market resolve?
The match was scheduled for October 31, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances; the listed event resolution time is November 7, 2026, at 09:00 UTC.