Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov
19 signals across 3 markets · $236,966 tracked · resolves Jul 9, 2026
This Wimbledon ATP event tracks the prediction market for Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged smart money activity from a profitable serial sports bettor, helping searchers see whether sharper bettors are leaning toward Mensik or Dimitrov as the match approaches.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- $4M-profit sharp backs Mensik
A highly profitable 96% win-rate sports bettor led a $31.9k same-side buy cluster on Jakub Mensik amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$31,911Score: 25.3 - Sharp cluster buying Dimitrov
A 7-wallet cluster, including several highly profitable tennis/sports-style traders, bought $34.1k of Grigor Dimitrov amid an 83x volume spike and 17-point price move.
$45,454Score: 22.7 - 91% winner buying Mensik
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Mensik, supported by a one-sided 5-wallet flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though price has since moved against the entry.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 12.9 - Proven winner backing Dimitrov
A highly profitable 76% win-rate bettor bought Grigor Dimitrov, backed by serial cross-market success and six-wallet same-direction flow despite the price moving against the entry.
$5,189Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 12.6 - Sharp cluster fading favorite
A profitable cluster, including a 96% winner up nearly $4M, moved $67K against Mensik and effectively into Dimitrov, though part of the size appears to be sharp bettors exiting prior Mensik positions.
$67,201Score: 11.6 - Elite tennis total sharp
Elite 92% win-rate bettor with $416k lifetime profit bought Over in a thin tennis total market, sizing roughly the full prior 24h volume.
$4,160Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 11.6 - Sharp bettor buying dip
Sharp profitable wallet bought $10k of Jakub Mensik at 50¢ alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 10.4 - Four-wallet Mensik push
Coordinated same-side buying on Mensik is backed by an 80x pre-event volume spike, though the specific wallet has a negative lifetime P&L.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 9.4 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Mensik amid a large one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
$6,589Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 9.4 - Six-wallet one-way flow
Coordinated six-wallet buying plus a 32x pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing, though the highlighted wallet is not profitable lifetime.
$1,837Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 8.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdb859a…152f$30,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$10,081 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x329060…53cb$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xd12321…d341$7,780 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x9e86ad…6dfb$6,589 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$5,189 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x88d17a…18da$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x6157d5…9fb4$4,160 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xb82645…635a$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xf1528f…64aa$2,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov?
The market prices the chance that either Jakub Mensik or Grigor Dimitrov advances from their Wimbledon ATP match. Odds can move as bettors react to form, injuries, lineup news, and in-match or pre-match sentiment.
Who is smart money backing in Mensik vs Dimitrov?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor. Check the live market view to see which side that activity favored and whether additional sharp bettors follow.
How does this Wimbledon ATP prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Jakub Mensik if Mensik advances against Grigor Dimitrov, and to Grigor Dimitrov if Dimitrov advances. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days beyond the scheduled date, special resolution rules may apply.
When is Mensik vs Dimitrov scheduled to resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by July 9, 2026 at 10:00 UTC if a winner is determined within the allowed window.