HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino
21 signals across 1 market · $61,263 tracked · resolves Jun 22, 2026
This HSBC Championships event tracks the prediction market for Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $2,000 in smart money activity, including a signal from a proven 79% sports bettor, making this match one to watch for odds movement.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 85% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 85% record bought Jakub Mensik at 69% despite the market now sitting slightly lower.
$1,009Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 17.9 - Profitable sports sharps align
Three profitable, high-volume sports traders aligned on Adrian Mannarino, including an 85% winner and a whale up $15.8M lifetime, with entries well below the current 52% price.
$3,838Score: 13.7 - Profitable sports whale plus cluster
Highly profitable, high-volume sports trader bought Mannarino before a large odds move, with coordinated same-side flow and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.
$2,031Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 12.7 - 99% win-rate sharp bettor
Elite 99% win-rate wallet bought Mannarino before a major price move, with serial cross-market success and strong market momentum corroborating the trade.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 11.2 - Profitable whale joins cluster
A highly profitable, high-volume bettor joined coordinated Mannarino buying amid a major pre-event volume spike and immediate price move from 45¢ to 52¢.
$1,482Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 10.6 - 99% sharp buying favorite
Elite 99% win-rate wallet with large lifetime profit bought Adrian Mannarino before a sharp move from 76–77¢ to 88¢ amid a major volume spike.
$3,927Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 10.4 - Sharp bettor joins 3-wallet cluster
A 3-wallet same-direction Mensik cluster includes a bettor with an 11-0 resolved record and $23.6k profit, making the coordinated tennis flow worth surfacing.
$6,657Score: 10.2 - Sharp contrarian cluster
Three wallets, including an 11-0 profitable bettor, took the Mensik side against a major market move, creating a notable contrarian sports signal despite the price moving sharply against them afterward.
$5,737Score: 9.7 - Elite sports sharp buying dip
Proven high-volume sharp wallet with 80% win rate and $4.24M profit bought Adrian Mannarino after a sharp price move.
$3,136Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 8.5 - Elite sports sharp buying
Surface because this is a proven sharp sports wallet with 407 wins in 409 resolved markets and strong lifetime profit buying Mensik despite the position being modest in size.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x698204…a165$7,854 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 99% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xb517ef…06dd$6,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,156 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$3,136 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x66d1cf…c18f$2,526 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xd325a8…a4c4$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$2,457 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x0599dc…3c6a$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x14b2eb…e055$1,720 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino?
The event’s odds reflect Polymarket traders’ live expectations for whether Jakub Mensik or Adrian Mannarino will advance in their HSBC Championships match. Prices can move as bettors react to lineup news, form, injuries, and smart money activity.
Is there smart money on Mensik vs Mannarino?
Yes. PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent alert tied to a proven 79% sports bettor.
What does this Polymarket event cover?
This event covers the HSBC Championships tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Adrian Mannarino. The market resolves based on which player advances from the match.
When does the Mensik vs Mannarino market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve once the winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of June 22, 2026. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed too long without a winner, resolution follows the market rules.
Why watch the Mensik vs Mannarino prediction market?
Prediction markets can show how traders are pricing the matchup in real time. Smart money signals, like activity from historically successful sports bettors, can help highlight where sharper participants may be taking a position.