HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo
9 signals across 1 market · $114,650 tracked · resolves Jun 22, 2026
This event tracks the HSBC Championships match between Alex de Minaur and Gabriel Diallo, with prediction-market odds on which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $1,337 in smart money activity, including a sharp bettor signal on a thin book, which can be important context when liquidity is limited.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster backing underdog
Three wallets are backing Gabriel Diallo, led by a proven 79% win-rate bettor, with heavy pre-event volume and a sharp move from about 21¢ to 30¢.
$7,367Score: 14.7 - Elite sharp buying underdog
Elite 95% win-rate wallet with over $1.1M profit bought $10k of underdog Gabriel Diallo amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 11.0 - Sharp bettor backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $139k lifetime profit is buying the 22¢ underdog in a high-volume tennis market with a pre-event volume spike.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 10.5 - 85% winner backs favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $400k lifetime profit bought Alex de Minaur at 84%, making this a copy-worthy tennis position despite modest alert score.
$4,601Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor on thin book
A high-win-rate tennis bettor made a $1.3k Alex de Minaur buy that dwarfs the market's tiny 24h volume, though lifetime profit is minimal.
$1,337Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.0 - Profitable whale caught early move
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Alex de Minaur at 67¢ before the market jumped to 80¢ amid a massive pre-event volume spike.
$3,618Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 4.9 - Profitable whale chasing momentum
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Alex de Minaur during a massive pre-event volume spike, with the first entry already moving from 67¢ to 80¢.
$5,869Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 4.1 - Profitable whale caught early move
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Alex de Minaur at 67¢ before the market jumped to 80¢ amid a massive pre-event volume spike.
$2,251Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial sports trader placed a $77.6k bet on Alex de Minaur at 63%, ahead of a major volume spike and a move to 80%.
$77,607Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$77,607 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x526852…135d$11,738 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 54% wins
- 0x5f659b…2036$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xb3a1aa…3529$4,601 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xacf838…e791$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x88aaaa…2f5e$1,337 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo?
The event market prices the probability that either Alex de Minaur or Gabriel Diallo advances in their HSBC Championships match. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest odds, price movement, and implied probabilities.
Is smart money betting on De Minaur vs Diallo?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,337 in smart money activity for this event, with one recent signal noting a sharp bettor on a thin book. That means the bet may be notable, but thinner liquidity can also make prices move more easily.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
This event covers the match winner/advancement outcome: Alex de Minaur advances or Gabriel Diallo advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated criteria.
When does the De Minaur vs Diallo market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 15, 2026, and the event is set to resolve by June 22, 2026, unless Polymarket resolves it earlier based on the official match result.