Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul
23 signals across 1 market · $152,933 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026
This event tracks the Hamburg European Open match between Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter has flagged $1,039 in smart money activity, including a signal tied to a 77% winner with $419K in profit.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner joins Paul cluster
High-score tennis alert with 7 wallets buying Tommy Paul, including a 93% winning bettor, alongside a major live price swing and volume spike.
$18,060Score: 22.2 - Sharp underdog cluster
A high-score 7-wallet cluster put nearly $30k on Alex de Minaur, with multiple profitable sharp bettors involved despite the market moving hard toward Tommy Paul.
$29,952Score: 18.9 - Profitable cluster buying dip
Five wallets are buying Alex de Minaur after a sharp price drop, including highly profitable high-volume bettors, though market flow is somewhat mixed.
$15,176Score: 18.3 - Sharp bettor exits favorite
Sharp wallet took the Tommy Paul side via selling Alex de Minaur, alongside one-sided flow and a major price move, though this may partly be profit-taking from an earlier Alex position.
$1,014Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 13.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp profitable tennis bettor with a 75% long-run record joined one-sided Tommy Paul flow amid a major price move and volume spike.
$2,234Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 12.4 - Proven winner joins 8-wallet flow
Sharp profitable wallet effectively bought Alex de Minaur at 37¢ alongside an 8-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$7,390Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 11.9 - Profitable serial joins 8-wallet push
Profitable serial sports bettor bought Alex de Minaur at 20¢ alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, with the market now much higher.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 11.9 - 8-wallet tennis buy cluster
Surface due to coordinated one-sided flow: 8 wallets bought Alex de Minaur for $32.9k during a 27x pre-event volume spike, despite this specific wallet lacking a profitable track record.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 11.9 - 10-wallet tennis steam
Strong coordinated one-sided flow into Alex de Minaur with 10 wallets buying, an 86.9x volume spike, and a 25-point price move despite this wallet having only a modest track record.
$1,927Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 11.8 - 90% winner joins one-sided flow
Sharp 90% win-rate wallet sold Alex, effectively backing Tommy at 38¢, alongside a strong pre-event volume spike and one-sided Tommy flow.
$1,347Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xeee9af…0752$40,740 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x25cb60…03a3$7,390 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x83d228…d196$6,808 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$5,897 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xce363b…2b99$4,983 · 1 market · 1 alert · 32% wins
- 0x8c73d0…6daf$2,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xc3df24…9945$2,470 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xbbf379…aa3a$2,234 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xacf838…e791$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x54bab0…04e4$1,927 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
FAQs
What are the De Minaur vs Tommy Paul prediction market odds?
The market prices the chance that Alex de Minaur or Tommy Paul advances from their Hamburg European Open match. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds and how they move as traders react to match news and betting activity.
Who is the smart money backing in De Minaur vs Tommy Paul?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,039 in smart money activity on this event across 1 signal. One recent alert highlighted a trader described as a 77% winner with $419K in profit, making this a notable market to watch.
What outcomes are traded for this event?
The event covers the match winner: Alex de Minaur advances or Tommy Paul advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated terms.
When does the De Minaur vs Tommy Paul market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve once a winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of May 29, 2026.