Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo
12 signals across 1 market · $81,867 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, with traders betting on which player advances. PolySpotter has flagged $43,322 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including one-sided Musetti momentum and activity from profitable tennis and sports bettors.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster chasing move
Coordinated Musetti buying from several profitable tennis/sports-style wallets coincided with a 17-point price move and a 17x volume spike, though the best entries are already gone.
$5,683Score: 18.0 - Sharp cluster buying Musetti
Six wallets put $22K on Musetti amid a 29x volume spike and sharp price move, including two highly profitable serial sports traders with 80%+ win rates.
$22,144Score: 15.5 - Sharp contrarian tennis cluster
Four wallets flipped into Francisco Cerundolo against the current 10% price, led by one 92% winner, but much of the flow was selling Musetti after earlier gains.
$12,774Score: 12.5 - Sharp wallet backs underdog
Surface: coordinated Cerundolo-side flow is led by a 92% winning wallet, though two larger sells are partly profit-taking from earlier Musetti positions.
$11,034Score: 12.3 - Repeat new wallet chasing move
A repeat new wallet bought Musetti amid a large pre-match volume surge and rapid 17-point move, though the wallet’s track record is still very limited.
$1,613Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 7.9 - 85% winner caught early move
Proven high-volume sports bettor with an 85% historical win rate bought Musetti at 76¢ before a fast move to 90¢, alongside a volume spike and price momentum.
$1,196Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.7 - 80% winner fading spike
Proven 80% winner and serial cross-market trader is taking the Cerundolo side after a sharp Musetti price jump, suggesting a contrarian fade by a strong tennis/sports bettor.
$1,691Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 7.7 - Sharp contrarian sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 83% resolved win rate sold Musetti despite the market moving up, implying a contrarian Cerundolo view.
$1,472Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.7 - 91% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% historical win rate bought Musetti at 53¢ amid a volume spike and rapid price move, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$2,715Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader put $15.3k on Cerundolo at even odds amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$15,347Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 6.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9a8c93…ba13$15,347 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xdd9d90…b730$2,715 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x8f764c…aea6$1,691 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xdb2508…eb12$1,613 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x043829…9d98$1,472 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x43eba8…cf57$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xd1780c…6703$1,196 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Musetti vs Cerundolo prediction market odds?
The Polymarket event prices the chance that Lorenzo Musetti or Francisco Cerundolo advances in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia match. PolySpotter tracks the live market movement alongside smart money signals so you can see whether odds are being driven by informed bettors or broader market action.
What is the smart money doing on Musetti vs Cerundolo?
PolySpotter has tracked $43,322 in smart money activity across 3 signals for this event. Recent alerts point to a profitable tennis cluster, one-sided Musetti momentum, and a profitable serial sports bettor participating in the market.
Is there notable momentum toward Lorenzo Musetti?
Yes. One of the recent PolySpotter alerts specifically flagged one-sided Musetti momentum, suggesting smart-money flow has recently leaned toward Musetti advancing over Cerundolo.
When does the Musetti vs Cerundolo market resolve?
The event is tied to the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market is expected to resolve based on which player advances, with a listed resolution deadline of May 17, 2026.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to Lorenzo Musetti if Musetti advances against Francisco Cerundolo, and to Francisco Cerundolo if Cerundolo advances. If the match is canceled, not played, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket's event terms.