Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev
17 signals across 2 markets · $240,799 tracked · resolves Apr 20, 2026
This Barcelona Open event tracks prediction-market odds for Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev, including the match winner and whether the match goes over or under 2.5 sets. PolySpotter has flagged $240,799 in smart-money activity across 17 signals, including a 4-wallet sharp Rublev cluster and high win-rate tennis bettors entering the market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet sharp Rublev cluster
Four wallets piled $75k into Rublev within minutes at 47-59¢, including a serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $4.1M profit, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor.
$75,015Score: 15.7 - Repeat new-wallet bettor
A very new wallet has already made 12 sizable flagged bets and is adding another meaningful position in a thin tennis market, suggesting unusually active conviction despite limited track record.
$1,161Wallet win rate: 43%Score: 9.9 - 96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports trader with a 96% win rate bought Rublev despite a fast 15-point drop, making this a strong follow signal even in a liquid market.
$997Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 9.5 - 86% win-rate serial bettor
A very active sports bettor with an 86% win rate bought Rublev into a strong pre-match volume and price surge, suggesting momentum worth tracking despite the high price.
$2,064Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.5 - 89% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate put $52.8k on a major tennis underdog during a huge pre-match volume spike, making this a sharp but now badly offside position worth monitoring rather than chasing at current odds.
$52,816Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.2 - 89% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate put $62k into Mariano Navone during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite the market moving against their entry.
$62,176Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.7 - Sharp cross-market sports bettor
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 72% win rate bought Mariano Navone before a major pre-match volume surge, making this a credible underdog signal despite the market moving against the entry.
$2,952Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 7.3 - 80% win-rate underdog buyer
A very active wallet with an 80% win rate across 3,403 resolved markets bought the underdog during a sharp pre-match move, making this a credible sharp-bettor fade worth watching despite the modest size.
$2,350Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 6.7 - 82% win-rate tennis bettor
A high-win-rate bettor with 179 resolved positions bought Andrey Rublev during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth watching.
$1,005Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 6.4 - Sharp bettor backs favorite
A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor with a 75% win rate and nearly $352k in profit is taking a fresh position on Rublev at 57¢.
$2,217Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe30e74…6b87$139,361 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x6aee3f…fad4$10,897 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$4,997 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$2,952 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x3b5c62…126e$2,350 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$2,064 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x397e40…1200$1,161 · 1 market · 1 alert · 43% wins
- 0x3cfb40…0628$1,005 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x51eb09…6bfa$997 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the Navone vs Rublev prediction market odds?
This event hub tracks Polymarket-style odds for both the match winner and total sets over/under 2.5. Prices can move quickly as traders react to lineup news, form, and sharp-money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Navone vs Rublev?
PolySpotter has tracked $240,799 in smart-money activity across 17 signals. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet sharp Rublev cluster, a repeat new-wallet bettor, and bettors with 96%, 89%, and 86% historical win rates.
What outcomes are traded in this Barcelona Open event?
The event includes markets on whether Mariano Navone or Andrey Rublev advances, plus a total sets market on whether the match finishes over or under 2.5 sets.
When does the Navone vs Rublev market resolve?
The match is scheduled for April 13 at 4:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by April 20, 2026. It resolves based on the official match result, with cancellation or major delay rules applying if no winner is determined.
Where can I track Navone vs Rublev Polymarket activity?
PolySpotter tracks the event’s prediction-market odds, child markets, and smart-money alerts in one place so you can see how sharp bettors are positioning before the match.