Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machac
14 signals across 1 market · $79,079 tracked · resolves May 1, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance in Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machac, with traders pricing the two possible outcomes: Norrie to win or Machac to win. PolySpotter has tracked $79,079 in smart money across 14 signals, including alerts for a 4-wallet Norrie cluster, sharp backing of Machac, and contrarian Norrie activity.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet Norrie cluster
A 4-wallet cluster piled into Cameron Norrie as the market repriced sharply, including one elite 93% win-rate wallet and a high-volume profitable bettor, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
$12,232Score: 17.6 - Sharp cluster backing Machac
A 4-wallet cluster piled into Tomas Machac just before a sharp repricing, led by two extremely strong wallets with 93% and 73% win rates and millions in profits.
$15,102Score: 16.3 - Sharp bettor in 7-wallet surge
A highly profitable 80% win-rate sports trader bought Tomas Machac at 50¢ before a coordinated 7-wallet move that pushed the price to 86%, making this a strong sharp-money signal.
$1,410Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 15.6 - Sharp contrarian Norrie cluster
A 4-wallet group piled into Cameron Norrie against a sharp market move toward Machac, including one elite wallet with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit, making this a notable contrarian cluster worth watching.
$5,603Score: 15.4 - 93% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp bettor with a 93% win rate bought Tomas Machac at 43¢ before a fast move to 62%, alongside coordinated same-side flow from other wallets.
$7,055Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 14.3 - 93% win-rate sharp fades favorite
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate sold the heavy favorite at 90¢ before a 16-point move lower, creating a strong copy signal on the opposite side.
$1,225Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 12.4 - New wallet in 4-wallet push
A very new wallet with repeated large bets joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into Tomas Machac, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the price moving sharply against the entry.
$3,486Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 12.1 - 7-wallet Machac pile-in
A very new wallet is repeatedly betting big, joined by 6 other wallets on the same side as Machac while the market has surged sharply, making this coordinated momentum worth surfacing despite the rich price.
$5,981Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 9.9 - Sharp bettor buying the dip
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Cameron Norrie after a sharp price drop, making this a credible dip-buy signal worth surfacing.
$1,782Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 9.4 - 91% winner joins Machac surge
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided surge into Tomas Machac as the market price broke sharply higher.
$13,777Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$13,777 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x526852…135d$9,468 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 53% wins
- 0xba8179…dc35$7,055 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$6,921 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$6,089 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$1,605 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x8816b7…7738$1,225 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the Norrie vs Machac odds on Polymarket?
The odds are reflected by the live Polymarket prices for Cameron Norrie and Tomas Machac to advance. PolySpotter tracks those prices alongside smart money activity so you can see how the market is moving before the match resolves.
Who is smart money backing in Norrie vs Machac?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show smart money interest on both sides: a sharp cluster backing Machac, a 4-wallet Norrie cluster, and a sharp contrarian Norrie cluster. That suggests active disagreement among sophisticated traders rather than a one-sided market.
What does the 93% win-rate sharp signal mean?
A 93% win-rate sharp alert means a historically high-performing wallet or trader has been detected in this market. It does not guarantee the outcome, but it is a useful signal for understanding where proven bettors are putting capital.
When does the Norrie vs Machac market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the Madrid Open match determines who advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, resolution follows the market rules.