Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Damm
4 signals across 1 market · $18,874 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks the prediction market for Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Damm, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $18,874 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including a 3-wallet steam move, a 94% win-rate sports bettor, and sharp interest in the underdog.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet steam move
Three wallets piled into Martin Damm during a major volume spike and violent repricing, with two getting in far below the now-94% price before the market moved hard.
$8,579Score: 19.6 - 94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate bought into a violent pre-match collapse alongside other wallets, making this a notable sharp sports bet despite the market moving hard against the entry.
$5,885Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 17.6 - New wallet buying the dip
A very new wallet has already made multiple large bets and stepped into a sharp 33-point price drop, suggesting aggressive conviction despite a limited and currently weak track record.
$1,284Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 8.8 - Sharp sports bettor buys underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and $3.1M P&L just bought Martin Damm at 39¢, making this a credible sharp sports position worth watching.
$3,125Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xba8179…dc35$5,885 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$3,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x6b8f18…449b$1,284 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the Popyrin vs Damm odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability of Alexei Popyrin or Martin Damm advancing in their Madrid Open match. PolySpotter tracks those prices alongside smart money signals so you can see whether sharp bettors are backing the favorite, the underdog, or buying price dips.
What is the smart money doing on Popyrin vs Damm?
PolySpotter has tracked $18,874 in smart money activity across 4 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 3-wallet steam move, a 94% win-rate sports bettor, a new wallet buying the dip, and a sharp sports bettor buying the underdog.
Is there sharp action on the underdog in Popyrin vs Damm?
Yes, one of the recent PolySpotter alerts specifically flagged a sharp sports bettor buying the underdog. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it suggests at least one tracked high-signal bettor saw value at the market price.
When does the Popyrin vs Damm prediction market resolve?
The market is tied to the Madrid Open match originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by April 30, 2026 if the match is delayed within the allowed window.
How does this Polymarket event settle if the match is canceled?
If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market follows Polymarket’s event rules rather than resolving to either player.