Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
10 signals across 1 market · $56,754 tracked · resolves Jun 14, 2026
This event tracks the Perugia tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Daniel Merida Aguilar, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter has tracked $3,428 in smart-money activity, including a notable signal that 93% of winner backing is on the underdog.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner backs underdog
Surface this because a highly profitable 92% sports bettor and two other wallets put $19K on the Daniel side amid a major pre-event volume spike, despite the market moving against earlier entries.
$19,000Score: 17.6 - 92% sharp tennis bettor
A highly proven 92% win-rate bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a major volume spike and sharp price move.
$4,700Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 11.8 - 93% winner backing Rocha
Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved win rate bought Henrique Rocha despite the market moving against that side, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
$2,290Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.8 - Profitable serial tennis bettor
Sharp serial cross-market tennis bettor with a 75% win rate and positive P&L bought Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 10.0 - 92% winner flipped sides
A highly profitable 92% winner with massive tennis/sports market history flipped from Daniel Merida Aguilar into a $7k Henrique Rocha buy amid a volume spike.
$7,000Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 9.0 - 93% winner backs underdog
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $377k lifetime profit bought Daniel Merida Aguilar in a low-volume tennis market.
$3,428Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - Profitable sports whale moved odds
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Rocha before a major volume spike and 23-point price move, making this a strong momentum/sharp-bettor signal.
$5,339Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Rocha at 86¢ before the market moved to 100%, alongside a large volume spike and 19-point price move.
$2,309Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 6.5 - 92% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $172k profit is buying Daniel Merida Aguilar with a $5k position in a relatively quiet tennis market.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
Positive-P&L serial sports trader bought the underdog before a major pre-event volume spike and the price has already moved from 22% to 28%.
$5,689Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 4.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc181a8…0992$16,700 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x369522…c66c$5,689 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$5,339 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x594d0c…059d$3,428 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$2,309 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x23eecf…5345$2,290 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x5c2f05…499c$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Rocha vs Merida Aguilar odds on Polymarket?
The market prices reflect the live implied chances for Henrique Rocha or Daniel Merida Aguilar to advance in the Perugia match. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money activity so you can see how informed traders are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on Rocha vs Merida Aguilar?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,428 in smart-money activity across this event. The key recent signal is that 93% of winner backing has been on the underdog, suggesting sharper traders may be leaning against the favorite.
Who wins if this Polymarket event resolves?
The event resolves to Henrique Rocha if he advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar, and to Daniel Merida Aguilar if he advances against Rocha.
When does Rocha vs Merida Aguilar resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve by June 14, 2026, unless cancellation or delay rules affect settlement.