Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinski
9 signals across 1 market · $33,761 tracked · resolves Apr 27, 2026
This Madrid Open qualification event tracks the prediction market for Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinski, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $33,761 in smart money across 9 signals, including Rocha clusters, Choinski flow, and a notable multi-wallet dogpile on the underdog.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 5-wallet dogpile on underdog
A 5-wallet cluster piled into Jan Choinski around 32-38¢, including a linked-wallet subgroup and multiple highly profitable bettors, while this match market saw an unusually large volume spike and sharp price move.
$15,395Score: 25.1 - 5-wallet Rocha cluster
A 5-wallet, partially linked cluster piled into Henrique Rocha before a sharp 26-point move, and this wallet got in at 64¢ before the market moved to 88¢.
$1,175Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 14.0 - 3-wallet Rocha pile-in
Three wallets piled into Henrique Rocha as the price jumped from roughly 50¢ to 78¢, led by a very new but already profitable wallet with repeated large bets, making this coordinated momentum worth surfacing.
$6,116Score: 12.5 - 4-wallet Choinski flow
Coordinated buying hit Jan Choinski across 4 wallets during a sharp volume and price move, and this wallet is a very active cross-market trader joining the flow by effectively buying Jan at 35¢.
$1,999Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 11.7 - Sharp bettor joins 4-wallet surge
A proven winning sports bettor joined a 4-wallet one-sided move into Henrique Rocha as volume surged, making this coordinated directional signal worth surfacing.
$1,514Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 8.0 - 5-wallet tennis steam move
Coordinated buying hit Henrique Rocha before a sharp move from 76¢ to 88¢, and this wallet is an active cross-market trader with a solid 295-bet history.
$1,064Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.0 - New hot-hand sports bettor
A very new wallet has already made 43 large flagged bets, is up $32.7k with an 83% hit rate, and just bought Henrique Rocha at 50¢ before the market moved to 56¢.
$2,056Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.0 - Pro sports sharp at 36¢
A very profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate bought Jan Choinski at 36¢, and the price has already moved up to 44¢.
$2,151Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0 - Pro sports grinder riding surge
A highly active and profitable cross-market sports bettor bought Henrique Rocha during a major pre-match volume and price surge, making this a followable momentum-style signal despite the market being liquid.
$2,292Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8bc2f8…4c80$3,063 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$2,292 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$2,151 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x8a6764…e403$2,056 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xea8755…1ad7$1,514 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x32ccd9…68b3$1,175 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
FAQs
What are the Rocha vs Choinski prediction market odds?
The event market prices the chance that Henrique Rocha or Jan Choinski advances in their Madrid Open qualification match. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds alongside smart-money activity so you can see how traders are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on Rocha vs Choinski?
Recent alerts show activity on both sides: a 5-wallet Rocha cluster, a 3-wallet Rocha pile-in, 4-wallet Choinski flow, and a sharp bettor joining a 4-wallet surge. There was also a 5-wallet dogpile on the underdog, suggesting concentrated interest from tracked wallets.
How much smart money has been tracked on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $33,761 in smart-money volume across 9 signals for this Rocha vs Choinski Madrid Open qualification market.
When does the Rocha vs Choinski market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the match winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of April 27, 2026. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the rules window without a winner, resolution follows the market rules.