Event

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier

5 signals across 1 market · $70,546 tracked · resolves Oct 14, 2026

This Shanghai Rolex Masters prediction market tracks whether Holger Rune or Daniel Altmaier advances from their match. PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal, with a proven 82% winner backing Rune; that signal is informative, not a guarantee of the result.

Markets (1)

  1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier5 signals · $70,546 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 11-wallet Altmaier buying cluster

    Eleven wallets bought Daniel Altmaier for $70,391 amid a 232x volume spike, making the coordinated flow compelling despite the tracked wallet’s entry now being above current odds.

    $3,179Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 9.3
  2. 11-wallet Altmaier buying cluster

    Eleven wallets bought Daniel Altmaier for $70,391 amid a 232x volume spike, making the coordinated flow compelling despite the tracked wallet’s entry now being above current odds.

    $1,105Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 9.3
  3. Five-wallet Rune buying surge

    Five wallets put about $55,000 of aligned exposure on Holger Rune amid an 88.5x volume spike, with several participants showing substantial lifetime profits.

    $55,358Score: 7.8
  4. Proven 82% winner backs Rune

    A highly profitable bettor with 1,172 resolved bets and an 82% win rate is backing Holger Rune, with a long-running cross-market track record.

    $6,600Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7
  5. Profitable serial trader adding to Altmaier

    A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 62% win rate is adding to a sizable Altmaier position amid a 54x volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.

    $4,303Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 3.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x38337d…33d1$6,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  2. 0x21801d…08f0$4,303 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
  3. 0x2a6966…d2f7$4,284 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 70% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier prediction-market odds?

The market’s odds reflect traders’ changing expectations about which player will advance. Check the event page for the latest prices.

What is smart money doing in the Rune vs Altmaier market?

PolySpotter reports one smart money signal: a trader with a proven 82% win rate backed Holger Rune. A signal is not a guarantee of the outcome.

What outcome does this market cover?

The market resolves to Holger Rune if he advances against Daniel Altmaier, or to Daniel Altmaier if he advances.

When does the Rune vs Altmaier market resolve?

It resolves based on which player advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or no winner is determined by the market’s stated deadline, the market follows its listed resolution rules.