Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
19 signals across 2 markets · $119,714 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026
This Geneva Open event tracks the prediction market for Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $1,980 in smart money activity, including a recent sharp sports bettor signal backing the favorite.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying Navone
High-conviction Navone buying from a 5-wallet cluster includes multiple highly profitable sports bettors, led by a wallet with a 92% win rate and $2.45M lifetime profit, despite opposing Ruud flow.
$23,458Score: 23.7 - Sharp wallets buying underdog
High-conviction Ruud flow from 7 wallets is worth surfacing because it includes two very profitable sharp bettors and a major one-sided move during a large volume spike.
$20,951Score: 20.1 - 95% winner backs Ruud
Elite tennis bettor with a 95% historical win rate bought Casper Ruud alongside one-sided clustered flow, despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
$5,986Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 19.7 - 98% winner backing Ruud
Surface because a highly profitable 98% win-rate sports trader is part of a 4-wallet one-sided Ruud buy cluster with strong cross-market history.
$9,550Score: 16.4 - Sharp bettor joins 11-wallet Ruud flow
Despite being partly profit-taking, this is worth surfacing because an 81% lifetime winner is exiting Navone while a linked 11-wallet cluster is positioned the same way toward Casper Ruud.
$5,684Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 16.3 - Proven sharp plus cluster
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor is buying Casper Ruud alongside an 11-wallet same-direction cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 15.7 - 95% winner buying Ruud
A highly profitable tennis/sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought $10.4k of Casper Ruud despite the market later trading lower.
$10,418Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% long-run win record bought Mariano Navone amid a major price move and volume spike.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 10.4 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader bought Navone before a major price move, alongside a 26x volume spike and 31-point move toward the same side.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 8.4 - 93% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $8.1k of Casper Ruud at 81¢.
$8,096Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x03f8db…d85a$16,404 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$10,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0xa7425e…68c5$8,096 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xae3019…079e$7,684 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 62% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x7b2f09…3531$4,888 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$2,110 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xbd0908…7f92$1,980 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xbbf379…aa3a$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone?
The event page tracks live prediction-market odds for both outcomes: Casper Ruud to advance or Mariano Navone to advance. Odds can move as traders react to form, lineup news, match conditions, and smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Ruud vs Navone?
PolySpotter has detected $1,980 in tracked smart money across this event, with one recent signal from a sharp sports bettor backing the favorite.
Who can win this Geneva Open prediction market?
The market resolves to Casper Ruud if he advances against Mariano Navone, and to Mariano Navone if he advances against Ruud.
When does the Ruud vs Navone market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 22, 2026, and the event is set to resolve by May 29, 2026. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the allowed window without a winner, resolution follows the market rules.