Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno
8 signals across 1 market · $39,882 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026
This event tracks the Roland Garros ATP qualifying match between Toby Samuel and Gonzalo Bueno, with prediction-market odds for which player will advance. PolySpotter is monitoring the Polymarket market for price movement and smart money activity, including a recent profitable sports whale signal with $3,800 tracked across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Bueno surge
Three wallets pushed Gonzalo Bueno from around 49% to 76%, with one profitable bettor capitulating out of the other side, making this coordinated tennis move worth surfacing despite the price having already run.
$4,205Score: 9.1 - 92% winner taking profits
Surfaced because an exceptionally sharp tennis bettor with a 92% record and $100k profit exited Toby Samuel at 86¢, though this was profit-taking rather than a fresh short.
$3,252Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.5 - 3-wallet Bueno momentum
Three profitable, high-volume wallets bought Gonzalo Bueno in the same window, helping drive a 15.5-point move in a moderately liquid tennis market.
$4,604Score: 6.6 - Three-wallet tennis push
Three wallets put nearly $19k on Toby Samuel during a major pre-event volume spike, creating notable one-sided tennis flow despite mixed wallet track records.
$18,904Score: 6.3 - 92% winner backing Toby
Surface this as a strong copy-trade candidate because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% record is buying Toby Samuel at near-even odds.
$1,947Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with 7,635 resolved bets and $11.2M lifetime profit bought Toby Samuel at 52¢.
$1,670Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Gonzalo Bueno at near-even odds.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.0 - Profitable sports whale
A highly profitable bettor with 260 resolved markets and $785k lifetime profit bought Gonzalo Bueno in a relatively quiet tennis market.
$3,800Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$5,300 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 67% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$5,199 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,670 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno?
The event page shows live Polymarket odds for whether Toby Samuel or Gonzalo Bueno will advance in their Roland Garros qualifying match. Prices can move as traders react to form, matchup news, and betting activity.
Who is smart money backing in Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,800 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal from a profitable sports whale. Check the event page for the latest side, size, and timing of that activity.
What does this prediction market resolve on?
The market resolves to Toby Samuel if he advances against Gonzalo Bueno, and to Gonzalo Bueno if he advances against Samuel. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated resolution window without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.
When does the Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by May 29, 2026 at 10:30 UTC, assuming a winner is determined within the rules.