Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils
5 signals across 1 market · $25,648 tracked · resolves May 8, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance in Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils, with traders pricing the match outcome between the favorite and the underdog. PolySpotter is tracking $25,648 in smart money across 5 signals, including high win-rate tennis and sports wallets backing Sinner as well as linked wallets showing interest in the underdog.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 100% win-rate tennis whale
A highly profitable perfect-record wallet bought $12.1k of Jannik Sinner, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record and a 45x pre-event volume spike.
$12,125Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 10.3 - Linked wallets backing underdog
Four wallets, including a highly profitable $6.8M lifetime bettor, coordinated on Arthur Fils as a long-shot underdog during a 71x volume spike, though the market has since moved against them.
$5,546Score: 8.4 - 77% winner backs favorite
A profitable 77% sports bettor with broad cross-market history is backing the favorite during a sharp pre-match volume spike.
$1,608Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.3 - 93% winner buying Sinner
A proven sports bettor with a 93% record bought Sinner before a major pre-match volume surge and the price has already moved from 84¢ to 92¢.
$2,119Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.4 - 91% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate serial cross-market trader is buying Sinner at 85¢, making this a strong sharp-bettor follow despite the moderate alert score.
$4,250Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8a3ab8…eb9a$12,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$4,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x16dba5…8d0f$2,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x046b56…340d$1,608 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils?
The market prices the chance that either Jannik Sinner or Arthur Fils advances in their Madrid Open match. Check the live market on PolySpotter for the latest odds and movement.
What is the smart money doing on Sinner vs Fils?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple sharp signals, including a 93% winner buying Sinner, a 77% winner backing the favorite, and a 91% win-rate sports sharp. There are also linked wallets backing the underdog, suggesting some split interest.
Is Jannik Sinner the favorite in this prediction market?
The alert flow indicates smart-money activity on the favorite, including wallets specifically buying Sinner. However, live odds can change quickly as new bets come in before and during the match.
When does the Sinner vs Fils market resolve?
This market resolves after the match winner is determined, with the listed resolution deadline of May 8, 2026. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the rules window without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.