Event

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

23 signals across 1 market · $117,105 tracked · resolves May 6, 2026

This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance in Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar, with outcomes priced for either Sinner or Jodar to win the match. PolySpotter has tracked $117,105 in smart-money activity across 23 signals, with recent alerts highlighting repeated underdog backing from a 10-wallet cluster and a 93% winner wallet.

Markets (1)

  1. Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar23 signals · $117,105 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 10-wallet cluster backs underdog

    High-conviction underdog bet from a repeat new wallet tied to a 10-wallet funded cluster, with a pre-match volume spike supporting the move.

    $10,405Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 15.6
  2. 10-wallet cluster backs underdog

    High-score alert: a repeat new wallet tied to a 10-wallet funded cluster is buying the 16¢ underdog amid a major pre-match volume spike.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 14.9
  3. 10-wallet cluster backs underdog

    High-conviction underdog bet from a repeat new-wallet bettor linked to a 10-wallet funded cluster, though without resolved track record yet.

    $9,405Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 13.0
  4. Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

    LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

    $6,924Score: 11.3
  5. Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

    LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

    $1,200Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 8.1
  6. 93% winner backing underdog

    A highly profitable 93% win-rate serial sports bettor is taking the underdog Rafael Jodar at 15¢ despite Sinner being the heavy favorite.

    $1,125Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0
  7. 93% winner backs underdog

    A highly profitable 93% winner with extensive cross-market history is taking a fresh underdog position on Rafael Jodar at 15¢.

    $2,080Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0
  8. 80% winner backs favorite

    Proven profitable sports bettor with 80% win rate is buying Sinner amid a major pre-event volume spike.

    $1,600Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 7.2
  9. 91% sharp buying favorite

    Surfacing because a highly proven serial sports trader with 91% resolved win rate and $2.1M profit is buying Sinner amid a major pre-event volume spike.

    $1,803Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.2
  10. Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

    LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

    $16,129Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 6.2

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x19808567d8$21,810 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
  2. 0x479e3391c3$20,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
  3. 0xcc8f0ea7bb$16,129 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
  4. 0x8f3c562f57$9,933 · 1 market · 1 alert · 39% wins
  5. 0x301e103f91$8,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
  6. 0x56c9fb0d9e$7,753 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
  7. 0xd48a816e90$5,678 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  8. 0xbdb0e4f8ba$5,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  9. 0xba8179dc35$3,205 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
  10. 0xe4d384c2f0$3,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the latest Sinner vs Jodar odds on Polymarket?

The market price reflects the implied odds that either Jannik Sinner or Rafael Jodar advances in their Madrid Open match. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money signals so you can see not just the price, but who is buying into each side.

What is the smart money doing on Sinner vs Jodar?

Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable interest in the underdog, including repeated buys from a 10-wallet cluster and backing from a wallet labeled as a 93% winner. That does not guarantee the result, but it suggests sharp traders are taking a closer look at the longer-priced side.

How much smart money has been tracked on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $117,105 in smart-money activity across 23 signals for the Sinner vs Jodar Madrid Open market.

When does the Sinner vs Jodar market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve based on who advances from the match, with a listed resolution deadline of May 6, 2026 at 08:00 UTC. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.

What outcomes are traded in this prediction market?

Traders are pricing two outcomes: Jannik Sinner advances or Rafael Jodar advances. The event hub tracks the full match market rather than a single bet slip or sportsbook line.