Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
23 signals across 4 markets · $270,481 tracked · resolves May 22, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket trading around Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, including the available set handicap market on Sinner -1.5 vs Medvedev +1.5. PolySpotter has flagged $2,126 in smart-money activity so far, including action from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 14-wallet Sinner surge
A very large 14-wallet one-sided push bought $140.9k of Sinner amid a major volume spike, with several high-volume profitable sports traders participating despite some opposing flow and a price drop.
$140,905Score: 26.5 - 93% winner on Medvedev
Elite 93% lifetime winner bought Medvedev at 28¢ amid a 9-wallet one-sided move and the price has already moved to 36¢.
$2,567Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 15.7 - 90% winner joins Medvedev flow
Sharp 90% winning tennis bettor with large lifetime profit is buying Medvedev, backed by one-sided flow from 9 wallets and a major volume spike.
$3,458Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 14.7 - 9-wallet Medvedev move
A high-volume serial cross-market tennis trader joined a 9-wallet move against Sinner amid a major volume spike and sharp price drop, though this wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
$1,071Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 13.5 - New wallets backing Sinner
Three fresh wallets simultaneously bought nearly $7k of Sinner in a very quiet first-set market, led by a 2-day-old repeat wallet already showing profit.
$6,969Score: 13.1 - 88% winner caught Sinner move
A highly proven tennis/sports bettor with an 88% win rate bought Jannik Sinner at 66% before the market moved sharply to 84%.
$1,689Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 11.7 - Sharp cluster on underdog
Three wallets, including two high-volume serial cross-market bettors and a highly profitable 90% winner, are all taking the Medvedev side against the heavy favorite.
$5,482Score: 11.1 - 91% winner backing favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought $10k of Sinner ahead of a major volume spike and 20-point price move.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 9.7 - $8.9M profitable serial trader
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Jannik Sinner before a sharp 20-point move amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$7,191Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 7.7 - New tennis whale scaling in
Very new wallet is repeatedly making five-figure tennis bets and is already profitable, buying Sinner for $6.8k at 84¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
$6,777Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 7.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x06c0d0…bc23$59,051 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x4be1fa…aa70$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 52% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$8,502 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$6,777 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xe30e74…6b87$3,458 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x3a3084…34b1$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$2,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x19254b…4654$2,652 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$2,567 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$2,462 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Sinner vs Medvedev prediction market odds?
The event’s odds are based on Polymarket trading for Sinner vs Medvedev, including the set handicap market. Prices can move quickly as traders react to form, injury news, lineups, and in-match expectations.
What outcome is being traded for Sinner vs Medvedev?
The listed child market is a set handicap: Sinner -1.5 vs Medvedev +1.5. That means traders are pricing whether Sinner can win with the required margin in sets, or whether Medvedev keeps the match within the handicap or wins outright.
Is smart money betting on Sinner vs Medvedev?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,126 in smart-money activity across this event, with one signal flagged so far. The recent alert highlighted a profitable serial sports bettor, which can be useful context when evaluating market moves.
When does the Sinner vs Medvedev market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, and the event is set to resolve by May 22, 2026. Resolution depends on the official match outcome and the specific rules for the handicap market.
Where can I follow Sinner vs Medvedev Polymarket activity?
You can use this PolySpotter event hub to monitor the Sinner vs Medvedev prediction market, recent smart-money signals, and how traders are pricing the available handicap outcome.