Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
109 signals across 5 markets · $2,008,434 tracked · resolves Jun 8, 2026
This event tracks the Roland Garros ATP match between Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Arnaldi, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter is monitoring the Polymarket market for price moves and smart money activity, including a recent signal from an 88% win-rate tennis sharp.
Markets (5)
- Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi103 signals · $1,989,268 tracked
- Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.51 signal · $6,388 tracked
- Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 40.51 signal · $5,900 tracked
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.53 signals · $4,378 tracked
- Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 36.51 signal · $2,500 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner backed by cluster
Elite 92% win-rate wallet with $3.18M lifetime profit bought $48.8k of Matteo Arnaldi alongside a one-sided multi-wallet cluster.
$48,839Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 22.6 - Sharp cluster buying Arnaldi
Nine wallets, including multiple highly profitable sharp bettors, are aligned on Matteo Arnaldi around a 51¢ effective entry.
$43,640Score: 20.2 - 96% winner backs Tiafoe
Elite 96% lifetime winner with nearly $1M profit is buying Tiafoe, backed by linked-wallet clustering and a major pre-event volume spike.
$6,079Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 19.2 - Sharp wallets riding tennis steam
Surface because five wallets bought Arnaldi together during a major price move, including two highly profitable high-volume bettors, though there is also notable opposing Tiafoe flow.
$14,511Score: 17.8 - 94% winner backs Arnaldi
Elite 94% lifetime winner with $3.5M profit is buying Arnaldi alongside heavy one-sided flow from 7 wallets.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 16.9 - 89% winner joined Tiafoe flow
Sharp profitable tennis bettor bought Frances Tiafoe at 31¢ alongside one-sided flow, before the price jumped to 44¢.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 16.7 - Sharp-backed 12-wallet cluster
A 12-wallet cluster put about $69.6k equivalent long Frances Tiafoe after a major odds drop, with one proven 86% winner participating, though much of the flow came via Arnaldi sells.
$69,625Score: 16.5 - 89% winner joins Tiafoe flow
Sharp 89% win-rate wallet closed Arnaldi exposure, equivalent to buying Tiafoe at 51¢, alongside $90k of one-sided Tiafoe flow.
$1,951Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 16.4 - 89% winner joins 5-wallet push
Highly profitable 89% win-rate sports bettor bought Matteo Arnaldi, alongside a 5-wallet one-sided flow and major pre-match volume spike.
$5,139Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 15.8 - 93% winner backing Arnaldi
Elite 93% win-rate wallet bought $47.5k of Arnaldi alongside strong one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike.
$47,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 15.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3d6ac5…c2b5$1,390,673 · 1 market · 16 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x5966db…f804$48,839 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$47,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$46,360 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 58% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$37,538 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$32,074 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x1eaf5d…9bf0$29,005 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xdd9d90…b730$16,946 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x37e472…c991$13,813 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x74bdef…d371$12,065 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Tiafoe vs Arnaldi odds on Polymarket?
The event market prices Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Arnaldi based on who traders think will advance at Roland Garros. Check the live PolySpotter page for the current implied odds and recent movement.
Is smart money betting on Tiafoe vs Arnaldi?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,303 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal tied to an 88% win-rate tennis sharp.
What outcomes are traded in this prediction market?
This Roland Garros event covers the match winner: Frances Tiafoe advances or Matteo Arnaldi advances. The market resolves based on the official match outcome.
When does the Tiafoe vs Arnaldi market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve once a winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of June 8, 2026.