Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik
14 signals across 3 markets · $92,244 tracked · resolves Jul 11, 2026
This Wimbledon ATP event tracks prediction-market action for Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik, with the active child market focused on whether the match goes over or under 3.5 total sets. PolySpotter has tracked $1,408 in smart-money activity and one recent signal, including a 78% winner entering a thin market.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Perfect-record tennis sharp
Sharp sports wallet with a perfect 24-0 resolved record and $180k profit bought Alexander Bublik at 49¢ in a liquid Wimbledon match market.
$22,525Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 11.6 - 95% winner backing Tiafoe
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% historical win rate is building an $11.8k position on Tiafoe at even odds, supported by cross-market sharp activity and a volume spike.
$11,810Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 10.7 - Coordinated Tiafoe buying
High-composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided buying, a major pre-event volume spike, and a serial cross-market trader despite this wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
$7,797Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 9.8 - Perfect-record tennis sharp
Sharp sports wallet with a perfect 24-0 resolved record and $180k profit bought Alexander Bublik at 49¢ in a liquid Wimbledon match market.
$1,482Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.0 - 92% serial sharp
Elite 92% lifetime bettor with $432k profit bought Under 40.5 at 47¢ despite the market now pricing it much lower.
$2,032Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.0 - Profitable bettor joining Tiafoe flow
Coordinated one-sided buying on Tiafoe is backed by a profitable high-volume sports trader and a 19x pre-event volume spike.
$2,424Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 7.8 - Experienced bettors align on Tiafoe
Three experienced cross-market bettors, including two profitable long-run wallets, collectively bought $8.7k of Frances Tiafoe near even odds.
$8,703Score: 7.1 - Elite tennis sharp buying Over
A highly profitable tennis bettor with an 81% win rate and $4.5M lifetime profit bought Over 40.5 at 51¢ before the market moved to 71¢.
$12,670Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate bought Tiafoe at 52¢ before the market moved sharply to 66¢ amid a volume spike.
$7,228Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.4 - 87% winner backs Tiafoe
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and +$68k lifetime P&L bought Frances Tiafoe at 51¢ in a liquid Wimbledon match market.
$1,999Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc430e5…1ebf$24,006 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$12,670 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x03c580…5f61$11,810 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x7efe92…2e32$7,797 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x82617a…a3f1$7,228 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xa8e089…ad50$4,479 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x787969…3653$4,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$3,438 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x6485f4…a265$2,424 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x6157d5…9fb4$2,032 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Tiafoe vs Bublik Wimbledon odds on Polymarket?
This event hub tracks the available Polymarket-style odds for Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik, including the listed total sets market over or under 3.5 sets. Odds can move as traders react to match conditions, form, and liquidity.
What is the main prediction market for Tiafoe vs Bublik?
The active child market shown for this event is Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 3.5, meaning traders are pricing whether the match lasts more than 3.5 sets or finishes in 3 sets or fewer.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,408 in smart-money activity across this event, with one signal so far. The latest alert noted a 78% winner entering a thin market, which may be meaningful but should be read with caution because thin markets can move sharply on small volume.
When does the Tiafoe vs Bublik market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the Wimbledon ATP match originally set for July 4, 2026, and is listed to resolve by July 11, 2026. Resolution depends on the match result and the specific rules for delays, cancellations, or no winner being determined.