Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski
13 signals across 1 market · $156,556 tracked · resolves Jul 9, 2026
This Wimbledon ATP event tracks prediction-market odds for Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $3,000 in smart money activity, including a signal from a perfect-record tennis bettor, helping users see where sharper action may be landing before the match resolves.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 80% winner in funded cluster
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Tiafoe, alongside linked-wallet activity and a major pre-event volume spike.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 13.5 - $16M winner joins Choinski cluster
Surface: three wallets bought Choinski into a major price move, including a highly profitable serial sports trader up $16.4M lifetime.
$9,025Score: 12.0 - Profitable serial sports sharp
Sharp, profitable tennis bettor with a 78% record bought Choinski at 27¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, and the market has already moved to 32¢.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 11.5 - Five-wallet Choinski surge
Five wallets, including highly active profitable sports traders, bought the Choinski side during a major pre-match volume spike despite the market later settling lower.
$11,168Score: 11.1 - Volume-spike momentum buyer
A modest-sized Tiafoe buy is worth surfacing mainly because it coincided with a 178x volume spike and a 21-point price move, though the wallet’s track record is only middling.
$1,720Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 6.8 - Sharp bettor on favorite
Sharp profitable tennis bettor put $45K on Frances Tiafoe at 89¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and the market has already moved to 96¢.
$45,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.8 - Profitable sharp flipped sides
Profitable high-volume sports trader flipped from Choinski to Tiafoe before a major price move, alongside a large pre-event volume spike.
$3,600Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 6.8 - 88% winner buying favorite
Sharp serial cross-market tennis bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Tiafoe despite recent price weakness.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - 98% winner backing favorite
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 98% record and strong lifetime profit bought Frances Tiafoe at 68¢.
$1,661Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 6.0 - New wallet buying dip
A brand-new wallet is making repeat sizable bets into a major pre-match volume spike, buying Tiafoe after a sharp odds drop.
$1,972Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4cb5a6…ef29$73,710 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xc5a233…6dd9$45,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x32b484…8b21$3,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x93aaf0…4ab1$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x40e8f2…88a4$2,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xafac39…8730$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x76ffe8…1e73$1,972 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xb29f4f…45b5$1,720 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0xd48d42…5182$1,661 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x927cf2…6633$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Tiafoe vs Choinski odds on Polymarket?
The event market prices the probability that Frances Tiafoe or Jan Choinski advances in their Wimbledon ATP match. PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket odds alongside smart money signals so you can see how the market is moving.
What is the smart money doing on Tiafoe vs Choinski?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,000 in smart money activity for this event, including an alert tied to a perfect-record tennis bettor. That signal may be useful for understanding whether experienced traders are taking a side.
How does this Wimbledon prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Frances Tiafoe if he advances against Jan Choinski, and to Jan Choinski if Choinski advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.
When does Tiafoe vs Choinski resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, and the event is expected to resolve by July 9, 2026, assuming a winner is determined within the market’s rules.