National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic
20 signals across 1 market · $119,635 tracked · resolves Aug 11, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the National Bank Open match between Frances Tiafoe and Marin Cilic, with market outcomes based on which player advances. PolySpotter’s latest alert highlights a four-wallet Tiafoe conviction cluster, with $12,047 in smart money tracked across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite serial bettor scaling into Tiafoe
A highly experienced bettor with an 80% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Tiafoe position at 67%.
$1,337Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 7.4 - Four-wallet Tiafoe conviction cluster
Four wallets added roughly $12,000 to Frances Tiafoe, including a proven 97% winner, amid a major volume spike and at prices below the current 66% market odds.
$11,014Score: 7.1 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable tennis trader with 83% wins and $430,709 in P&L added $4,400 to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$7,300Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.8 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable tennis trader with 83% wins and $430,709 in P&L added $4,400 to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$6,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.8 - Sharp bettor doubles down on Tiafoe
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Tiafoe position despite a sharp price decline.
$1,111Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.7 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable tennis trader with 83% wins and $430,709 in P&L added $4,400 to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$4,500Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable tennis trader with 83% wins and $430,709 in P&L added $4,400 to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$4,400Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial cross-market history added $3,300 to an existing Tiafoe position despite the market moving lower.
$6,929Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.8 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable tennis trader with 83% wins and $430,709 in P&L added $4,400 to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$5,400Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable tennis trader with 83% wins and $430,709 in P&L added $4,400 to an existing Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$9,929Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xca97f5…49f6$67,286 · 1 market · 12 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$27,592 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x6485f4…a265$6,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$4,337 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xd5757e…e017$2,175 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xf148f9…0b4f$1,111 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Tiafoe vs Cilic prediction-market odds?
The market odds show the implied probabilities for Frances Tiafoe and Marin Cilic to advance. Check the live PolySpotter event page for current prices and changes in market sentiment.
Who is smart money backing in the Tiafoe vs Cilic market?
PolySpotter’s latest alert identifies a four-wallet conviction cluster backing Frances Tiafoe.
How much smart money is tracked on this event?
PolySpotter tracks $12,047 in smart money across the event, along with one recorded smart-money signal.
When does the National Bank Open match market resolve?
The match was scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market is expected to resolve once a player advances, with a resolution deadline of August 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC.
What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner determined, the market follows the exchange’s stated resolution rules.