National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech
9 signals across 1 market · $110,381 tracked · resolves Aug 14, 2026
Follow the National Bank Open prediction market for Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech, with outcomes traded on which player advances. PolySpotter tracks $6,201 in smart money across two signals, including a sharp bettor scaling into Rinderknech and a tennis bettor with a 94% win rate.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor backs Rinderknech
A proven 84% bettor is adding to a substantial Arthur Rinderknech position alongside two other wallets during a 45x volume spike, despite the broader cluster including two historically losing traders.
$18,730Score: 7.2 - Three-wallet Tiafoe buying cluster
Three wallets placed $10.9K on Tiafoe during a 135x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite two wallets adding to existing positions and one having a poor record.
$10,939Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor adds to Rinderknech
A proven tennis-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 35 cents.
$11,693Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor adds to Rinderknech
A proven tennis-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 35 cents.
$6,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Tiafoe
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $50,000 to an existing Tiafoe position.
$50,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.6 - 94% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought Tiafoe at 64% in a liquid tennis market.
$3,200Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor scaling into Rinderknech
A proven high-edge bettor with an 85% win rate is adding to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 37¢.
$3,001Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7 - New bettor scaling into Tiafoe
A 10-hour-old repeat bettor with early profits added substantially to Tiafoe during a 45x market volume spike, though the position is currently underwater.
$1,818Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.7 - New bettor scaling into Tiafoe
A 10-hour-old repeat bettor with early profits added substantially to Tiafoe during a 45x market volume spike, though the position is currently underwater.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdb859a…152f$50,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xca97f5…49f6$17,693 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x6f2a56…12fb$6,818 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$3,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x6319a2…d371$3,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Tiafoe vs Rinderknech prediction-market odds?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied chances of Frances Tiafoe or Arthur Rinderknech advancing. Check the event page for the latest prices, which can change as bettors trade.
What is smart money betting on in Tiafoe vs Rinderknech?
PolySpotter has tracked two smart money signals totaling $6,201. One alert highlights a sharp bettor scaling into Arthur Rinderknech, while another comes from a tennis bettor with a reported 94% win rate.
When is the Tiafoe vs Rinderknech match scheduled?
The National Bank Open match is scheduled for August 6, 2026, at 8:30 PM ET. The event is listed to resolve by August 14, 2026, subject to the market’s settlement rules.
How does the Tiafoe vs Rinderknech market resolve?
The market resolves to Frances Tiafoe if he advances and to Arthur Rinderknech if he advances. Cancellations, ties, or extended delays are handled according to the exchange’s stated resolution rules.