Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
11 signals across 1 market · $84,682 tracked · resolves Jun 24, 2026
This Halle Open prediction market tracks who will advance in the match between Learner Tien and Felix Auger-Aliassime. PolySpotter is monitoring the Polymarket odds and smart-money activity, including a recent signal from an elite sports bettor buying the underdog.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster backing Felix
Strong one-sided Felix flow from six wallets, including multiple highly profitable tennis/sports-style traders with 80%+ records and major lifetime profits.
$18,094Score: 19.0 - Sharp cluster buying underdog
Surface this because three wallets bought the underdog together, including a highly profitable 92% winner and serial cross-market trader, despite the price now being cheaper than their entries.
$20,530Score: 13.5 - Sharp bettors buying Tien
Surface this: three wallets are aligning on Learner Tien, including two highly profitable bettors with 87% and 90% historical win rates plus a serial cross-market trader.
$4,666Score: 11.2 - 96% winner buying underdog
A highly profitable 96% win-rate sports bettor placed a $25k buy on Learner Tien, with corroborating pre-event volume spike despite short-term price moving against the entry.
$25,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 11.2 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp, highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Felix Auger-Aliassime at 23¢ amid a major volume spike and recent tennis market repricing.
$4,383Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 10.4 - 80% winner, $4.2M up
Sharp wallet with an 80% win rate and $4.24M lifetime profit bought Felix, backed by a long serial cross-market history despite the price now being below entry.
$1,114Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.5 - 92% winner backs underdog
Surfacing because a highly profitable 92% winner with a long cross-market track record bought Learner Tien at 38¢.
$3,732Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.0 - 87% sports sharp buying Felix
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $164k lifetime profit bought Felix Auger-Aliassime at 63¢ amid a pre-match volume spike.
$1,813Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 7.1 - 90% win-rate sharp
Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with a 90% record bought Learner Tien at 65¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢.
$1,999Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 2.0 - Sharp bettor caught reversal
Sharp wallet with an 80% historical win rate sold Felix before a major price drop, though it appears to be closing an existing Felix position rather than opening a fresh Tien bet.
$1,851Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 1.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5f659b…2036$25,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x9ac253…be3d$4,383 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x776713…4fb2$3,732 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x8c50c4…d6eb$1,999 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xbc8c61…273f$1,851 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xc3df24…9945$1,813 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$1,114 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Tien vs Auger-Aliassime odds on Polymarket?
The market prices reflect the implied probability that either Learner Tien or Felix Auger-Aliassime advances. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart-money signals so you can see how serious bettors are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on this Halle Open match?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,500 in smart-money activity for this event, including a recent alert that an elite sports bettor was buying the underdog.
Who wins the Polymarket market for Tien vs Auger-Aliassime?
The market resolves to Learner Tien if Tien advances, and to Felix Auger-Aliassime if Auger-Aliassime advances in the Halle Open match.
When does this prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 24, 2026, depending on when the match is completed and an official winner is determined.
What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond the market’s stated resolution window, it may resolve according to the market rules rather than to either player.