Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik
18 signals across 1 market · $119,983 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This Internazionali BNL d'Italia event tracks the prediction market for Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $5,145 in smart money activity on the matchup, including a signal that a 92% winner exited the favorite side.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable whale flips to Tien
Strong Tien-side flow includes a highly profitable serial cross-market trader, a 28x volume spike, and a sharp 35-point move toward Tien.
$9,706Score: 15.5 - Four-wallet Bublik surge
Four wallets pushed the same Bublik side during a major tennis price reversal, including profitable and high-volume sports traders, with one 67% winner active across hundreds of events.
$9,433Score: 14.4 - 4-wallet Bublik contrarian flow
A four-wallet cluster is taking the Bublik side into a huge pre-event volume spike, with the largest flow effectively buying Bublik via selling Tien from profitable wallets despite sharp adverse price movement.
$26,788Score: 12.8 - Profitable serial bettor flip
Highly profitable serial tennis bettor flipped into Learner Tien during a one-sided volume surge that moved the price sharply from 54% to 84%.
$7,149Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 9.3 - Repeat new wallet buying dip
New repeat large bettor bought Learner Tien amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move, though the wallet has limited resolved history and is currently underwater from 61¢ to 50¢.
$1,073Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 8.5 - 97% winner backs underdog
Elite 97% lifetime winner and highly active cross-market trader bought Learner Tien at 35¢ in a reasonably liquid tennis market.
$4,147Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 8.0 - One-sided Bublik cluster
Coordinated Bublik buying with a serial cross-market bettor and a large pre-event volume spike is notable, though this specific entry has moved sharply against the trade.
$1,080Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 7.9 - 4-wallet Bublik flow
Coordinated one-sided Bublik buying and a large pre-event volume spike make this worth watching despite this wallet's mediocre, unprofitable history and bad current mark-to-market.
$1,095Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 7.9 - 7-wallet Tien upset flow
Seven wallets put $14.4K on the Tien upset amid a 16.8x volume spike, though wallet quality is mixed and two trades look like flipping out of prior Bublik positions.
$14,412Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial trader flips
High-scoring alert from a profitable serial sports trader flipping into Learner Tien amid one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 27-point price move.
$13,877Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 7.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf1528f…64aa$13,877 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x0ebbb3…cb1a$8,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x4f7582…af7e$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$7,149 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$7,053 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x83d228…d196$4,147 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x043829…9d98$1,439 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xeb77d9…ef9e$1,180 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xcd3638…a8ac$1,095 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik?
The market prices the probability that either Learner Tien or Alexander Bublik advances in their Internazionali BNL d'Italia match. PolySpotter tracks the live odds and smart money activity so you can see how traders are positioning as the match approaches.
What is smart money doing on Tien vs Bublik?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,145 in smart money across this event and one recent signal. The latest alert noted that a trader with a 92% win rate exited the favorite, which may suggest reduced conviction or profit-taking on that side.
Who wins if this Polymarket event resolves?
The event resolves to Learner Tien if Tien advances against Alexander Bublik, and to Alexander Bublik if Bublik advances. It is based on the match winner, not set score or margin.
When does the Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the market is expected to resolve after an official winner is determined. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the market rules, it may resolve according to Polymarket’s stated cancellation terms.