Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik
14 signals across 1 market · $154,971 tracked · resolves May 29, 2026
This Geneva Open prediction market tracks the match between Learner Tien and Alexander Bublik, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $1,620 in smart money activity on the event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 12-wallet sharp cluster
High-conviction one-sided tennis flow from a 12-wallet cluster includes multiple highly profitable bettors and a major pre-event volume spike.
$78,389Score: 25.9 - Sharp-backed Tien cluster
High-scoring live tennis alert with 10 wallets effectively buying Learner Tien, including a sharp 82% winner and a repeat new large bettor with early profits, despite opposing Bublik flow.
$22,610Score: 23.4 - Sharp cluster buying Bublik
Three wallets bought $15.2k of Alexander Bublik, including two highly profitable sports bettors with 92–93% historical win rates and a 131x pre-event volume spike.
$15,242Score: 14.7 - Elite 89% winner fading Tien
Elite tennis bettor with an 89% long-term win rate sold Learner Tien, equivalent to buying Alexander Bublik at 45¢, with market price moving in the same direction.
$1,415Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 13.7 - 92% winner joined Tien surge
Elite 92% lifetime bettor bought Learner Tien amid a seven-wallet one-sided surge and a 41-point price move to near certainty.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 13.6 - 80% win-rate serial bettor
High-conviction Bublik buy from a proven 80% winner with strong lifetime profit, backed by one-sided wallet flow, volume spike, and price impact.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 13.2 - Profitable serial trader joins steam
A highly profitable serial sports trader joined one-sided Bublik flow during a major pre-match volume spike and 32-point price move.
$1,290Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 11.6 - Sharp bettor joins Bublik surge
Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% record joined a 5-wallet one-sided move on Bublik amid a major volume spike and 32-point price move.
$11,531Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 11.2 - Elite sharp backs underdog
Elite tennis/sports bettor with an 89% long-term win rate and $1.07M profit bought $6.45K of Learner Tien amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$6,450Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 10.7 - 93% winner buying underdog
Elite profitable tennis bettor bought Alexander Bublik amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,069Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 10.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x25cb60…03a3$11,531 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$7,865 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 89% wins
- 0xf284ad…b9f9$5,636 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$4,041 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,620 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x87358c…db43$1,038 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik?
The market odds reflect the current Polymarket price for which player is expected to advance in the Geneva Open match. Prices can move quickly as bettors react to lineups, form, injuries, and match-day news.
What is the smart money doing on Tien vs Bublik?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,620 in smart money volume across this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That activity can help show where experienced traders are positioning before the match resolves.
How does the Tien vs Bublik Polymarket resolve?
The market resolves to Learner Tien if Tien advances, and to Alexander Bublik if Bublik advances. If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated terms.
When does the Geneva Open Tien vs Bublik market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the May 22, 2026 match, with resolution expected once a winner is determined. The listed final resolution deadline is May 29, 2026 at 13:30 UTC.