China Open: Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz
8 signals across 2 markets · $25,659 tracked · resolves Oct 7, 2026
This China Open prediction market tracks whether Learner Tien or Hubert Hurkacz advances from their match. PolySpotter has tracked $3,000 in smart money activity across one signal, with a recent alert noting a “98% winner” adding to Tien.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Hurkacz cluster
Three wallets bought Hurkacz for nearly $6.9k as his price jumped 26 points, including a bettor with an 83% win rate and strong odds-adjusted results.
$8,178Score: 7.6 - 83% winner with serial cross-market record
A highly profitable trader with an 83% win rate across 313 resolved positions bought Hurkacz at 39¢, and the price has since risen to 48¢.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.3 - 99% winner makes $6K concentrated bet
A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate made a concentrated $6,000 buy in a very quiet market, despite the current price falling below their entries.
$6,000Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 6.0 - 93% winner adding amid coordinated buying
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate added to an existing Learner Tien position amid coordinated buying, a volume spike, and a sharp price rise.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.8 - Proven 83% winner backs Hurkacz
A highly profitable bettor with 313 resolved positions and an 83% win rate is backing Hurkacz at 39¢, despite current odds near 38%.
$1,931Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial trader backing Hurkacz
A highly active, profitable bettor with a massive track record bought Hurkacz in a thin market as the price rapidly moved in the same direction.
$1,378Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.3 - 98% winner adding to Tien
A highly profitable bettor with a 98% record is adding $3,000 to Learner Tien, a bet equal to about half of the market’s 24-hour volume.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.9 - 98% winner adding to Tien
A highly profitable bettor with a 98% record is adding $3,000 to Learner Tien, a bet equal to about half of the market’s 24-hour volume.
$2,873Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb00cf0…dfa2$6,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xf3b04d…23a1$5,873 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 97% wins
- 0x3f985e…0aa1$3,231 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,378 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xc0a5ec…1f5f$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Tien vs Hurkacz?
The market covers two outcomes: Learner Tien advances or Hubert Hurkacz advances. Check the live market prices for the latest odds, as they can change over time.
What is smart money doing in the Tien vs Hurkacz market?
PolySpotter tracks $3,000 in smart money activity across one signal. Its recent alert says a “98% winner” is adding to Learner Tien; that refers to the alert, not necessarily Tien’s market-implied win probability.
What does this China Open market resolve on?
It resolves to Learner Tien if he advances, or to Hubert Hurkacz if Hurkacz advances. The market rules include special handling if the match is canceled, tied, or no winner is determined by the stated deadline.
When will the Tien vs Hurkacz market resolve?
The event page lists October 7, 2026 as the resolution date. The outcome depends on the match result and the market’s resolution rules.