Event

Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud

20 signals across 1 market · $206,571 tracked · resolves May 5, 2026

This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud, with traders pricing the head-to-head outcome on Polymarket. PolySpotter has tracked $206,571 in smart money across 20 signals, including notable wallet clusters on both Tsitsipas and Ruud and high win-rate bettors flipping toward Ruud.

Markets (1)

  1. Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud20 signals · $206,571 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 8-wallet Tsitsipas pile-in

    A large coordinated flip into Tsitsipas hit this match across 8 wallets for $93k, including one $63.6k sale of Ruud equivalent to buying Tsitsipas at 36¢, and the market has already repriced sharply to 60¢.

    $93,161Score: 21.9
  2. 96% winner leads Ruud flip

    Five wallets piled into Casper Ruud as the market swung hard, led by a bettor with a 96% win rate across 2,005 resolved markets, making this coordinated reversal worth surfacing despite some profit-taking sells.

    $31,109Score: 19.5
  3. 8-wallet Ruud cluster

    A linked cluster of 8 wallets piled into Casper Ruud before a huge move from 42¢ to 92¢, led by a very active cross-market bettor with a solid long-term edge.

    $3,592Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 17.2
  4. 96% winner flipped to Ruud

    A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate flipped into Casper Ruud at 69¢ while 6 wallets piled in the same direction, creating a notable coordinated sports trade despite the market later moving against them.

    $2,293Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 16.9
  5. 93% win-rate bettor buys Ruud

    A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided move into Casper Ruud during a major volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the market moving against their entry afterward.

    $4,020Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 16.2
  6. 95% win-rate sharp on Ruud

    A proven sharp bettor with a 95% win rate joined a 6-wallet, $37k one-sided move into Casper Ruud during a volume spike, making this a strong trade to study despite the market later moving sharply against the entry.

    $1,400Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 16.2
  7. 10-wallet funded cluster

    A newly funded wallet from a known 10-wallet cluster bought Tsitsipas at 32¢ just before the market moved to 38¢, suggesting coordinated conviction on a mispriced side.

    $4,500Score: 12.8
  8. 80% winner in buy cluster

    A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Tsitsipas during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong signal worth following.

    $2,730Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 11.5
  9. Profitable 3-wallet Ruud push

    A profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 3-wallet $18.2k one-sided buy cluster on Ruud during a major volume spike and sharp price move, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the price already retracing.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 10.6
  10. 79% winner flips to Tsitsipas

    A proven 79% win-rate sports trader exited Casper Ruud as multiple wallets piled into Tsitsipas, matching a strong one-sided move and sharp price swing.

    $1,535Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 10.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x0979ba8d9b$30,000 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 62% wins
  2. 0x7d4d0b8525$12,690 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  3. 0x51eb096bfa$8,393 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
  4. 0x246be8fb5b$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
  5. 0x76905674e1$4,830 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
  6. 0x19808567d8$4,500 · 1 market · 1 alert
  7. 0xba8179dc35$4,020 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  8. 0x86fbea03d4$3,592 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  9. 0xcf6c547e66$2,730 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
  10. 0x8f764caea6$1,535 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Tsitsipas vs Ruud odds on Polymarket?

The market prices represent the implied probability that Stefanos Tsitsipas or Casper Ruud advances in their Madrid Open match. Check the live Polymarket odds on this event page for the latest move before resolution.

What is the smart money doing on Tsitsipas vs Ruud?

PolySpotter has flagged 20 smart money signals totaling $206,571. Recent alerts include an 8-wallet pile-in on Tsitsipas, an 8-wallet Ruud cluster, and multiple high win-rate wallets flipping toward Ruud.

Are sharp bettors backing Casper Ruud?

Several recent alerts point to Ruud interest, including a 95% win-rate sharp on Ruud and a 96% winner flipping to Ruud. That does not guarantee the result, but it suggests notable informed-wallet activity on his side.

Are traders still buying Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Yes. PolySpotter also detected an 8-wallet Tsitsipas pile-in, showing that smart money activity has not been one-sided across the event.

When does the Tsitsipas vs Ruud market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve by May 5, 2026, once the match winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.