Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia
9 signals across 2 markets · $59,055 tracked · resolves Jul 6, 2026
This Wimbledon ATP event tracks prediction-market odds for Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia, including the traded market on who wins Set 1. PolySpotter is monitoring $1,020 in smart money activity across the event, with a notable signal tied to a $16M profitable serial bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable wallets backing underdog
Coordinated Adolfo Vallejo buying is worth surfacing because four wallets put $25.8k on the underdog amid a major volume spike, including profitable repeat/cross-market bettors despite the price moving against early entries.
$25,848Score: 12.2 - 97% winner flips sides
Elite 97% win-rate tennis bettor flipped from Vallejo to a $9k Mejia buy amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$9,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 11.5 - Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Adolfo Vallejo despite the market moving sharply against that side.
$4,410Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0 - 83% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp wallet with an 83% resolved win rate and $135k profit bought Nicolas Mejia despite the market drifting down afterward.
$3,850Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.6 - 83% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp wallet with an 83% resolved win rate and $135k profit bought Nicolas Mejia despite the market drifting down afterward.
$1,102Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Nicolas Mejia amid a major pre-match volume spike, though the position is currently slightly underwater.
$1,540Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 5.9 - Profitable bettor rides odds move
Profitable tennis bettor sold Vallejo into a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move toward Mejia.
$7,585Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 5.0 - Profitable bettor into volume spike
A profitable sports bettor bought $4.7k of Vallejo during a huge pre-match volume spike in a tennis market that was previously quiet.
$4,700Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 4.5 - $16M profitable serial bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Vallejo at 55¢ in a thin first-set tennis market before the price moved sharply to 72¢.
$1,020Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5f659b…2036$9,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x9e86ad…6dfb$7,585 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xa9a6bc…0009$4,952 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 84% wins
- 0xb29f4f…45b5$4,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x2c8e91…a316$4,410 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x5f0718…9d0f$1,540 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,020 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
FAQs
What are the Vallejo vs Mejia Wimbledon odds on Polymarket?
The event page tracks live Polymarket odds for the Vallejo vs Mejia matchup, including the Set 1 Winner market. Odds can move as traders react to lineup news, match conditions, and betting activity.
What outcomes are being traded for Vallejo vs Mejia?
This event currently includes a child market for Set 1 Winner: Vallejo vs Mejia, where traders price whether Adolfo Vallejo or Nicolas Mejia wins the opening set.
Is smart money betting on Vallejo vs Mejia?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,020 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal associated with a $16M profitable serial bettor. That activity can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are taking positions.
When does the Vallejo vs Mejia market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the Wimbledon ATP match originally set for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET, and is expected to resolve once the relevant winner is determined. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.